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MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs — Polymarket Odds

Resolved market · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 11, 2026

This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, Junior Caminero, Hunter Goodman, Kyle Schwarber, Pete Alonso, Ben Rice, after $61.0K of total trading volume.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Matt Olson100%
+27.5 pts$4.1K
Yordan Alvarez100%
+14.4 pts$3.2K
Junior Caminero100%
+8.1 pts$3.2K
Hunter Goodman100%
+43.0 pts$3.1K
Kyle Schwarber100%
+2.6 pts$1.1K
Pete Alonso100%
+51.3 pts$783
Ben Rice100%
+48.9 pts$534
Dillon Dingler0.0%
—$5.3K
Shea Langeliers0.0%
—$4.3K
Byron Buxton0.0%
—$3.5K
Aaron Judge0.0%
—$3.3K
James Wood0.0%
—$3.2K
Shohei Ohtani0.0%
—$3.1K
Brandon Lowe0.0%
-0.4 pts$2.7K
CJ Abrams0.0%
—$2.0K

15 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.

Total volume $61.0K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs?

This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, Junior Caminero, Hunter Goodman, Kyle Schwarber, Pete Alonso, Ben Rice, after $61.0K of total trading volume.

When does the MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs market end?

The event's listed end date is October 11, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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Polymarket View, “MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs — Polymarket odds”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/mlb-player-to-hit-40-home-runs/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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