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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: October 11, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 16:40 UTC, the leading outcome is Hunter Goodman at 48.5%, followed by Brandon Lowe at 0.6%, Munetaka Murakami at 0.6%. The market has $58.3K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (settled) | 100% | +27.5 pts | $4.1K |
| Yordan Alvarez (settled) | 100% | +14.4 pts | $3.2K |
| Junior Caminero (settled) | 100% | +8.1 pts | $3.2K |
| Kyle Schwarber (settled) | 100% | +2.6 pts | $1.1K |
| Pete Alonso (settled) | 100% | +51.3 pts | $783 |
| Ben Rice (settled) | 100% | +48.9 pts | $534 |
| Hunter Goodman | 48.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.8K |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.6% | — | $2.4K |
| Munetaka Murakami | 0.6% | — | $583 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | 0.6% | — | $103 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.3% | — | $129 |
| Dillon Dingler | <0.1% | — | $5.3K |
| Shea Langeliers | <0.1% | — | $4.2K |
| Byron Buxton | <0.1% | — | $3.5K |
| Aaron Judge | <0.1% | — | $3.3K |
15 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $58.3K · 24h volume $1.2K · Liquidity $88.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Hunter Goodman ■ Brandon Lowe ■ Munetaka Murakami · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: MLB odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 16:40 UTC, the leading outcome is Hunter Goodman at 48.5%, followed by Brandon Lowe at 0.6%, Munetaka Murakami at 0.6%. The market has $58.3K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 11, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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