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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Lionel Messi at 63.2%, followed by Petar Musa at 16.1%, Sam Surridge at 1.7%. The market has $951.1K in total volume and $55 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 63.2% | +0.1 pts | $27.1K |
| Petar Musa | 16.1% | — | $13.3K |
| Sam Surridge | 1.7% | -0.2 pts | $3.2K |
| Kévin Denkey | 1.6% | -0.4 pts | $2.2K |
| Brian White | 1.5% | -0.2 pts | $3.2K |
| Tai Baribo | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $29.5K |
| Denis Bouanga | 0.4% | -0.2 pts | $2.7K |
| Prince-Osei Owusu | 0.2% | — | $13.5K |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | 0.1% | — | $459.8K |
| Germán Berterame | 0.1% | — | $75.7K |
| Dejan Joveljić | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $2.3K |
| Evander | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $2.3K |
| Tadeo Allende | <0.1% | — | $237.0K |
| Albert Rusnák | <0.1% | — | $68.2K |
| Hugo Cuypers | <0.1% | — | $3.8K |
13 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $951.1K · 24h volume $55 · Liquidity $49.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Lionel Messi ■ Petar Musa ■ Sam Surridge · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Awards odds · Sports odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Lionel Messi at 63.2%, followed by Petar Musa at 16.1%, Sam Surridge at 1.7%. The market has $951.1K in total volume and $55 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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