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Updated October 21, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of October 21, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Victor Wembanyama at 35%, followed by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 17.5%, Nikola Jokic at 16%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $6.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 35% | +0.5 pts | $2.9K |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 17.5% | +1.0 pts | $981 |
| Nikola Jokic | 16% | -0.5 pts | $1.2K |
| Luka Doncic | 13.7% | +0.1 pts | $1.8K |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 7.1% | +0.1 pts | $818 |
| Cade Cunningham | 3.4% | -1.1 pts | $627 |
| Anthony Edwards | 3.3% | -1.2 pts | $718 |
| Jaylen Brown | 2.5% | -2.5 pts | $1.9K |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2.5% | -2.1 pts | $820 |
| Jayson Tatum | 1.6% | -0.9 pts | $656 |
| Zion Williamson | 0.9% | -1.1 pts | $155 |
| Jalen Brunson | 0.8% | -1.4 pts | $562 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 0.8% | -1.1 pts | $562 |
| LeBron James | 0.7% | -0.4 pts | $788 |
| Cooper Flagg | 0.7% | -1.3 pts | $562 |
18 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $20.1K · 24h volume $6.5K · Liquidity $316.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Victor Wembanyama ■ Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ■ Nikola Jokic · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the player who wins the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NBA odds · Awards odds · Sports odds
As of October 21, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Victor Wembanyama at 35%, followed by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 17.5%, Nikola Jokic at 16%. The market has $20.1K in total volume and $6.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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