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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 26, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 40.4%, followed by September 30 at 10.5%. The market has $38.4K in total volume and $666 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 40.4% | -25.4 pts | $18.7K |
| September 30 | 10.5% | — | $1.9K |
| July 31 (settled) | 0.0% | -2.2 pts | $17.0K |
| August 31 (settled) | 0.0% | -3.6 pts | $695 |
Total volume $38.4K · 24h volume $666 · Liquidity $19.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31 ■ September 30 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Politics odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 40.4%, followed by September 30 at 10.5%. The market has $38.4K in total volume and $666 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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