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Updated September 27, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: April 1, 2027
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Željka Cvijanović at 94.5%, followed by Marinko Božović at 2.5%, Nebojša Vukanović at 2.1%. The market has $37.2K in total volume and $4.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Željka Cvijanović | 94.5% | +6.0 pts | $31.7K |
| Marinko Božović | 2.5% | -0.7 pts | $396 |
| Nebojša Vukanović | 2.1% | -2.7 pts | $1.5K |
| Siniša Karan | 1.8% | -0.3 pts | $1.4K |
| Draško Stanivuković | 1.8% | -0.8 pts | $1.0K |
| Branko Blanuša | 0.4% | — | $1.2K |
Total volume $37.2K · 24h volume $4.0K · Liquidity $78.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Željka Cvijanović ■ Marinko Božović ■ Nebojša Vukanović · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Željka Cvijanović at 94.5%, followed by Marinko Božović at 2.5%, Nebojša Vukanović at 2.1%. The market has $37.2K in total volume and $4.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is April 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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