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Updated November 7, 2026 · 128 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 128 live World Elections markets with $7.97M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 (Jon Ossoff 27.3%), followed by Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 (J.D. Vance 36.5%), Presidential Election Winner 2028 (JD Vance 18.6%).
National elections outside the US: who wins, vote shares and who forms the government. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
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| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27.3% | -0.4 pts | $2.19M | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 36.5% | -2.0 pts | $2.12M | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18.6% | -1.8 pts | $1.24M | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45.1% | +0.6 pts | $723.5K | Apr 19, 2027 |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 98.8% | +37.3 pts | $492.6K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Next Prime Minister of Sweden | Ulf Kristersson 55.4% | +22.1 pts | $336.1K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 68.5% | -1.5 pts | $190.8K | Nov 29, 2026 |
| Next Prime Minister of Spain? | Alberto Núñez Feijóo 87.5% | -4.0 pts | $112.0K | Nov 30, 2026 |
| Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? | Christopher Luxon 83% | +26.0 pts | $77.9K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government? | National + ACT + NZF 77.5% | +28.0 pts | $52.6K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| New Zealand Election: 2nd Place | Labour Party 99% | +36.4 pts | $31.1K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Which coalition will form the next Swedish government? | M + KD + L + C 51.7% | +17.0 pts | $28.2K | Aug 1, 2027 |
| Next Israeli government formed? | By June 30, 2027 83.5% | +8.0 pts | $27.2K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? | Labour 0-5% 97.5% | +41.5 pts | $27.1K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| NZ Election: National Party # of seats? | 40-44 98.9% | +62.8 pts | $26.5K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Argentina Presidential Election Winner | Javier Milei 44.5% | — | $26.3K | Oct 25, 2027 |
| New Zealand Election: 3rd Place | Green Party 99% | +5.6 pts | $23.6K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner | Zoran Janković 59% | -4.5 pts | $13.6K | Nov 16, 2026 |
| Spain General Election Winner | PP 90.5% | -2.0 pts | $11.9K | Nov 30, 2026 |
| NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats? | 35-39 98.2% | +50.6 pts | $11.8K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner | Lai Jui-lung 89% | -3.0 pts | $10.5K | Nov 29, 2026 |
| Paraguay Presidential Election Winner | Miguel Prieto 20.5% | +8.0 pts | $9.3K | May 1, 2028 |
| Next US Senate Minority Leader? | John Thune 92.5% | +6.5 pts | $7.3K | Jan 3, 2027 |
| New Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Su Chiao-hui 61% | — | $6.9K | Nov 29, 2026 |
| New Zealand Election: Turnout | <76% 47% | +45.2 pts | $6.5K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Democratic 67.5% | — | $6.4K | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand? | ACT New Zealand 71% | +9.5 pts | $6.2K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner | José Maria Neves 95.4% | +1.4 pts | $6.1K | Nov 16, 2026 |
| NZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats? | 7-9 96.8% | +55.3 pts | $5.5K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Israeli Knesset election annulled? | Yes 2.2% | -0.9 pts | $5.2K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner | Ann Kao 87% | +2.5 pts | $5.1K | Nov 29, 2026 |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? | Jean-Luc Mélenchon 96% | -0.2 pts | $4.6K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? | Marine Le Pen 90.5% | — | $4.6K | Apr 19, 2027 |
| Next President of Germany? | Ilse Aigner 93.5% | +19.0 pts | $4.5K | Jan 30, 2027 |
| Next Mayor of Johannesburg? | Helen Zille 53.5% | +0.5 pts | $4.4K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Brazil presidential election annulled? | Yes 2.5% | +0.1 pts | $4.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Which coalition will form the next Israeli government? | Other 62.5% | +17.0 pts | $4.1K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner | Kuomintang (KMT) 73.5% | +2.0 pts | $4.1K | Nov 29, 2026 |
| Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner | Wu Hsiu-hua 82.5% | +7.5 pts | $4.1K | Nov 29, 2026 |
| Spain General Election: Biscay Winner | EH Bildu 43% | -10.5 pts | $4.1K | Nov 30, 2026 |
88 smaller markets are not shown; all 128 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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How these markets work: Election markets.
Kim Kardashian · LeBron James · Tim Walz · Zohran Mamdani · Oprah Winfrey · Bernie Sanders · Chelsea Clinton · Andrew Yang · Gavin Newsom · Michelle Obama · Hunter Biden · Hillary Clinton · George Clooney · Beto O’Rourke · Phil Murphy
Trump (117) · 2028 Presidential Election (45) · 2026 Midterms (3) · Senate Races (18) · Governor Races (0) · House Races (0) · Supreme Court (45) · Brazil (26) · France (37) · Germany (15) · United Kingdom (23) · Canada (38) · Mexico (62) · Politics (78)
As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 128 live World Elections markets with $7.97M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 (Jon Ossoff 27.3%), followed by Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 (J.D. Vance 36.5%), Presidential Election Winner 2028 (JD Vance 18.6%).
128 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded World Elections markets and updates twice a day.
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/world-elections/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="World Elections odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/world-elections/">World Elections odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/world-elections.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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Polymarket View, “World Elections odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/world-elections/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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