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Updated September 23, 2026 · 168 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 168 live World Elections markets with $2.99M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Brazil Presidential Election (Flávio Bolsonaro 58.9%), followed by Presidential Election Winner 2028 (JD Vance 20.6%), Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.2%).
National elections outside the US: who wins, vote shares and who forms the government. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil Presidential Election | Flávio Bolsonaro 58.9% | -0.5 pts | $520.9K | Oct 4, 2026 |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20.6% | — | $390.6K | Jan 21, 2029 |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.2% | +0.1 pts | $297.5K | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Gadi Eizenkot 52.8% | -0.1 pts | $249.5K | Oct 27, 2026 |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 38.4% | — | $188.1K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 51.2% | — | $138.5K | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 65.5% | — | $130.8K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Alaska Senate Election Winner | Mary Peltola 74.5% | -5.0 pts | $116.6K | Aug 1, 2027 |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 92.5% | — | $106.5K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 71.5% | — | $91.8K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place | Flávio Bolsonaro 71% | +1.5 pts | $56.9K | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 65.5% | — | $48.4K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Next Prime Minister of Sweden | Magdalena Andersson 87.5% | +1.0 pts | $43.8K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Next Prime Minister of Romania? | Sorin Grindeanu 41.3% | +10.9 pts | $36.3K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 61.5% | — | $32.9K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Bulgaria Presidential Election | Iliana Iotova 70.5% | +2.0 pts | $32.7K | Oct 25, 2026 |
| Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner | Kerry-Lynne Findlay 5.3% | +0.9 pts | $29.9K | Sep 26, 2026 |
| Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner | PAM 87.5% | +5.5 pts | $26.5K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 73.5% | +1.0 pts | $26.4K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | Abiy Ahmed 97.5% | +0.2 pts | $26.3K | Jan 1, 2029 |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 85.5% | +6.0 pts | $23.7K | Nov 29, 2026 |
| Lima Mayoral Election Winner | Rafael López Aliaga 73% | -1.1 pts | $23.0K | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place | Renan Santos 44% | +1.5 pts | $19.6K | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner | Lula 69.5% | — | $19.0K | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Ohio Senate Election Winner | Sherrod Brown (D) 62.5% | -0.5 pts | $18.6K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Wisconsin Governor Election Winner | David Crowley (D) 84.5% | +1.0 pts | $18.5K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes 5.6% | -0.9 pts | $16.3K | Oct 4, 2026 |
| Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff? | Flavio Bolsonaro 98.1% | +0.2 pts | $15.2K | Oct 4, 2026 |
| Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 61% | +14.0 pts | $14.9K | Oct 25, 2026 |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory | Lula da Silva <5% 52.5% | -0.5 pts | $13.6K | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Ulrich Siegmund 41.5% | -5.0 pts | $13.4K | Jun 1, 2027 |
| Next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Aleksandar Vučić 57.6% | +3.0 pts | $12.9K | Jul 1, 2028 |
| Which parties will be in next Swedish Government? | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 89.8% | +4.3 pts | $12.8K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Toronto Mayoral Election Winner | Olivia Chow 87% | -1.5 pts | $11.7K | Oct 27, 2026 |
| Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | Elif Eralp 66.5% | -10.5 pts | $9.1K | Jun 1, 2027 |
| Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? | 39%+ 86% | -5.0 pts | $7.8K | Oct 4, 2026 |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 39.5% | +1.5 pts | $7.7K | Nov 3, 2026 |
| Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania? | Independent/Technocrat 47.5% | +7.0 pts | $7.5K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? | Marine Le Pen 88.5% | -0.5 pts | $7.3K | Apr 18, 2027 |
| Quebec General Election Winner | PQ 92.5% | -0.5 pts | $6.1K | Oct 5, 2026 |
128 smaller markets are not shown; all 168 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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Trump (110) · 2028 Presidential Election (99) · 2026 Midterms (296) · Senate Races (128) · Governor Races (88) · House Races (100) · Supreme Court (32) · Brazil (100) · France (36) · Germany (22) · United Kingdom (22) · Canada (99)
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 168 live World Elections markets with $2.99M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Brazil Presidential Election (Flávio Bolsonaro 58.9%), followed by Presidential Election Winner 2028 (JD Vance 20.6%), Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.2%).
168 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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/api/v1/topics/world-elections.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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