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Updated October 18, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of October 18, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Connor McDavid at 48.1%, followed by Macklin Celebrini at 17.5%, Nathan MacKinnon at 12%. The market has $22.9K in total volume and $5.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 48.1% | +17.4 pts | $7.2K |
| Macklin Celebrini | 17.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.3K |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 12% | -1.2 pts | $4.8K |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 6.8% | +1.2 pts | $209 |
| Auston Matthews | 4.9% | +1.6 pts | $498 |
| Jack Eichel | 4.7% | +0.5 pts | $98 |
| Connor Bedard | 4.0% | -0.8 pts | $148 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 3.8% | +3.2 pts | $92 |
| Zach Werenski | 3.5% | +2.9 pts | $120 |
| Nikita Kucherov | 3.5% | — | $133 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 3.4% | +2.9 pts | $112 |
| Connor Hellebuyck | 3.4% | +1.6 pts | $111 |
| David Pastrnak | 3.3% | +0.9 pts | $259 |
| Cale Makar | 2.6% | +1.6 pts | $324 |
| Adam Fox | 2.3% | -0.3 pts | $75 |
103 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $22.9K · 24h volume $5.7K · Liquidity $98.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Connor McDavid ■ Macklin Celebrini ■ Nathan MacKinnon · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NHL odds · Awards odds · Sports odds
As of October 18, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Connor McDavid at 48.1%, followed by Macklin Celebrini at 17.5%, Nathan MacKinnon at 12%. The market has $22.9K in total volume and $5.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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