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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: December 1, 2026
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is >250k at 81.3%, followed by >500k at 77%, >750k at 74%. The market has $23.3K in total volume and $1.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| >250k | 81.3% | -2.1 pts | $4.0K |
| >500k | 77% | -3.0 pts | $2.9K |
| >750k | 74% | +4.5 pts | $1.7K |
| >1M | 70.7% | +3.4 pts | $2.4K |
| >3M | 66% | +6.0 pts | $3.3K |
| >2M | 65% | +1.5 pts | $2.1K |
| >10M | 51% | +0.5 pts | $1.2K |
| >7.5M | 38.5% | +0.5 pts | $788 |
| >5M | 36.5% | +1.0 pts | $861 |
| >15M | 29.5% | -0.5 pts | $2.9K |
| >20M | 24% | -25.5 pts | $387 |
| >40M | 17% | +1.0 pts | $169 |
| >30M | 15.5% | -8.5 pts | $546 |
| >25M | 15% | -32.5 pts | $150 |
Total volume $23.3K · 24h volume $1.1K · Liquidity $4.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ >250k ■ >500k ■ >750k · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the over.computer raise on MetaDAO exceed the value specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the "committed" figure displayed on the official over.computer raise page on MetaDAO, currently https://metadao.fi/companies/over-computer. Commitments in USDC are counted at face value as US dollars. If the displayed figure exceeds the specified value at any point before the raise closes and before November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" once the raise closes or on November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. A value exactly equal to the specified value will resolve to "No". If the figure on the raise page is unavailable, official announcements from MetaDAO (https://x.com/MetaDAOProject) or over.computer (https://x.com/overdotcomputer) may be used; if no official figure is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period through November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count toward resolution.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is >250k at 81.3%, followed by >500k at 77%, >750k at 74%. The market has $23.3K in total volume and $1.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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