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Weather Odds on Polymarket

Updated November 7, 2026 · 103 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 103 live Weather markets with $387.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Highest temperature in Munich on November 8? (9°C or higher 53%), followed by Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 8? (30°C 66.5%), Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 8? (6°C 39.5%).

Daily high and low temperatures in major cities, hurricanes and other weather markets. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Weather markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Highest temperature in Munich on November 8?9°C or higher 53%+30.5 pts$15.6KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 8?30°C 66.5%+7.0 pts$13.3KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 8?6°C 39.5%+18.5 pts$13.0KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Istanbul on November 8?10°C 61%+13.5 pts$11.9KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 8?17°C 59%+17.5 pts$11.9KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 8?17°C 52.5%+19.0 pts$11.9KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 8?8°C 41.5%+1.0 pts$10.7KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 8?28°C 40.5%+5.0 pts$10.7KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Paris on November 8?11°C 34%+4.5 pts$10.5KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 8?16°C 40.5%+31.0 pts$10.2KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 8?19°C 41%+3.0 pts$10.2KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Miami on November 8?84-85°F 49%+5.5 pts$9.3KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Moscow on November 8?4°C 48.5%+16.0 pts$9.1KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in NYC on November 8?60-61°F 60.5%+7.5 pts$9.0KNov 8, 2026
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 8?24°C 45.5%+18.0 pts$8.9KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on November 8?21°C 33%+3.0 pts$8.4KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Milan on November 8?13°C 43.5%-0.5 pts$8.2KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Busan on November 8?15°C 40.5%+3.0 pts$8.1KNov 8, 2026
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?↑5.5k 98.7%+1.2 pts$7.4KJan 1, 2027
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on November 8?33°C 49%+10.5 pts$7.1KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Cape Town on November 8?28°C 34.5%+9.0 pts$7.0KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 8?25°C or higher 52%+25.5 pts$7.0KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Houston on November 8?68-69°F 36%+6.0 pts$6.8KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Dallas on November 8?68-69°F 34%+4.0 pts$6.7KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Qingdao on November 8?14°C 44.5%-2.5 pts$6.5KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 8?10°C 53%+9.5 pts$6.5KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 8?7°C 57%+3.0 pts$6.4KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 8?16°C 42.5%-1.0 pts$6.2KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Toronto on November 8?10°C 36.5%+7.0 pts$6.2KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 8?30°C 50%+4.0 pts$5.8KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 8?22°C 41.5%+7.5 pts$5.8KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Singapore on November 8?32°C 43%+3.5 pts$5.7KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in London on November 8?10°C 41.5%+10.5 pts$5.6KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 8?68-69°F 51%+43.5 pts$5.3KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Beijing on November 8?7°C 39.5%+13.0 pts$5.3KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Chicago on November 8?60-61°F 45.5%+15.5 pts$5.2KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Austin on November 8?64-65°F 36.5%+15.5 pts$5.2KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Wellington on November 9?16°C 54.5%—$5.1KNov 9, 2026
Highest temperature in Wellington on November 8?20°C 57%+12.5 pts$5.1KNov 8, 2026
Highest temperature in Jeddah on November 8?32°C or higher 79%+24.0 pts$4.8KNov 8, 2026

63 smaller markets are not shown; all 103 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

🔔 Get alerts when big Weather markets move — free Telegram watchlist

How these markets work: Temperature markets.

Frequently asked questions

What are the Weather odds on Polymarket today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 103 live Weather markets with $387.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Highest temperature in Munich on November 8? (9°C or higher 53%), followed by Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 8? (30°C 66.5%), Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 8? (6°C 39.5%).

How many Weather markets are open on Polymarket?

103 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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<p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/weather/">Weather odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>

Free JSON

/api/v1/topics/weather.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

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Polymarket View, “Weather odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/weather/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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