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Weather Odds on Polymarket
Updated September 23, 2026 · 123 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Daily high and low temperatures in major cities, hurricanes and other weather markets. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
Live Weather markets
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2.9% | +0.1 pts | $67.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24? | 92-93°F 46.5% | +21.0 pts | $24.7K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24? | 78-79°F 42% | +11.0 pts | $22.0K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24? | 34°C 58% | -7.0 pts | $20.1K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24? | 13°C 54.5% | -1.0 pts | $18.3K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 24? | 70-71°F 35.5% | +13.0 pts | $17.4K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Milan on September 24? | 24°C 49.5% | +12.5 pts | $16.0K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Paris on September 24? | 24°C 38% | — | $15.9K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24? | 23°C 36% | +16.0 pts | $15.5K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Manila on September 24? | 33°C 46.5% | +10.0 pts | $14.6K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on September 24? | 21°C or higher 42.5% | +24.0 pts | $14.2K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 24? | 29°C 59% | +4.5 pts | $14.1K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 24? | 28°C 36.5% | +7.5 pts | $13.7K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Singapore on September 24? | 32°C 53.5% | +6.0 pts | $13.0K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 24? | 26°C 42% | +9.5 pts | $12.6K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in London on September 24? | 22°C 46% | +10.5 pts | $12.5K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 24? | 27°C 81.5% | +34.5 pts | $11.8K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Ankara on September 24? | 19°C 61.5% | +21.0 pts | $11.1K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in NYC on September 24? | 66-67°F 55% | +29.5 pts | $11.1K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 24? | 25°C 54.5% | +10.0 pts | $10.7K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Houston on September 24? | 92-93°F 46.5% | +7.0 pts | $10.3K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 24? | 14°C 48.5% | +15.0 pts | $9.6K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Munich on September 24? | 17°C 44.5% | +7.5 pts | $9.4K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 24? | 23°C 25% | +8.5 pts | $9.3K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 24? | 32°C 46.5% | +18.0 pts | $9.0K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 24? | 34°C 47.5% | +13.5 pts | $8.9K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 24? | 18°C 67.5% | +4.0 pts | $8.5K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 24? | 27°C 34% | +7.5 pts | $7.5K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? | 1 75% | +0.5 pts | $7.4K | Mar 2, 2027 |
| Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 24? | 26°C 38% | +2.5 pts | $7.4K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Denver on September 24? | 72-73°F 27.5% | +3.5 pts | $7.4K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Where will it rain on September 23? | Washington, DC 99.5% | +12.5 pts | $7.0K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 24? | 14°C 44% | +17.0 pts | $6.9K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on September 24? | 68-69°F 56.5% | +16.0 pts | $6.6K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Toronto on September 24? | 19°C 66.5% | +18.5 pts | $6.5K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 24? | 32°C 39.5% | +3.5 pts | $6.3K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Miami on September 24? | 90-91°F 52.5% | +0.5 pts | $6.2K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 24? | 20°C 71.5% | +46.5 pts | $5.8K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Busan on September 24? | 30°C 62.5% | +12.0 pts | $5.5K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 24? | 74-75°F 24% | -2.0 pts | $5.4K | Sep 24, 2026 |
83 smaller markets are not shown; all 123 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Weather odds on Polymarket today?
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 123 live Weather markets with $611.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? (Yes 2.9%), followed by Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24? (92-93°F 46.5%), Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24? (78-79°F 42%).
How many Weather markets are open on Polymarket?
123 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Use this data
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