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Weather Odds on Polymarket
Updated November 7, 2026 · 103 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Daily high and low temperatures in major cities, hurricanes and other weather markets. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
Live Weather markets
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 8? | 9°C or higher 53% | +30.5 pts | $15.6K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 8? | 30°C 66.5% | +7.0 pts | $13.3K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 8? | 6°C 39.5% | +18.5 pts | $13.0K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Istanbul on November 8? | 10°C 61% | +13.5 pts | $11.9K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 8? | 17°C 59% | +17.5 pts | $11.9K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 8? | 17°C 52.5% | +19.0 pts | $11.9K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 8? | 8°C 41.5% | +1.0 pts | $10.7K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 8? | 28°C 40.5% | +5.0 pts | $10.7K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 8? | 11°C 34% | +4.5 pts | $10.5K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 8? | 16°C 40.5% | +31.0 pts | $10.2K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 8? | 19°C 41% | +3.0 pts | $10.2K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 8? | 84-85°F 49% | +5.5 pts | $9.3K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 8? | 4°C 48.5% | +16.0 pts | $9.1K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 8? | 60-61°F 60.5% | +7.5 pts | $9.0K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 8? | 24°C 45.5% | +18.0 pts | $8.9K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on November 8? | 21°C 33% | +3.0 pts | $8.4K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Milan on November 8? | 13°C 43.5% | -0.5 pts | $8.2K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 8? | 15°C 40.5% | +3.0 pts | $8.1K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | ↑5.5k 98.7% | +1.2 pts | $7.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on November 8? | 33°C 49% | +10.5 pts | $7.1K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Cape Town on November 8? | 28°C 34.5% | +9.0 pts | $7.0K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 8? | 25°C or higher 52% | +25.5 pts | $7.0K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 8? | 68-69°F 36% | +6.0 pts | $6.8K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 8? | 68-69°F 34% | +4.0 pts | $6.7K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Qingdao on November 8? | 14°C 44.5% | -2.5 pts | $6.5K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 8? | 10°C 53% | +9.5 pts | $6.5K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 8? | 7°C 57% | +3.0 pts | $6.4K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 8? | 16°C 42.5% | -1.0 pts | $6.2K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Toronto on November 8? | 10°C 36.5% | +7.0 pts | $6.2K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 8? | 30°C 50% | +4.0 pts | $5.8K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 8? | 22°C 41.5% | +7.5 pts | $5.8K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Singapore on November 8? | 32°C 43% | +3.5 pts | $5.7K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in London on November 8? | 10°C 41.5% | +10.5 pts | $5.6K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 8? | 68-69°F 51% | +43.5 pts | $5.3K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 8? | 7°C 39.5% | +13.0 pts | $5.3K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 8? | 60-61°F 45.5% | +15.5 pts | $5.2K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 8? | 64-65°F 36.5% | +15.5 pts | $5.2K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 9? | 16°C 54.5% | — | $5.1K | Nov 9, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 8? | 20°C 57% | +12.5 pts | $5.1K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Jeddah on November 8? | 32°C or higher 79% | +24.0 pts | $4.8K | Nov 8, 2026 |
63 smaller markets are not shown; all 103 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
🔔 Get alerts when big Weather markets move — free Telegram watchlist
How these markets work: Temperature markets.
Frequently asked questions
What are the Weather odds on Polymarket today?
As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 103 live Weather markets with $387.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Highest temperature in Munich on November 8? (9°C or higher 53%), followed by Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 8? (30°C 66.5%), Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 8? (6°C 39.5%).
How many Weather markets are open on Polymarket?
103 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Use this data
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Polymarket View, “Weather odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/weather/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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