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Weather Odds on Polymarket

Updated September 23, 2026 · 123 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 123 live Weather markets with $611.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? (Yes 2.9%), followed by Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24? (92-93°F 46.5%), Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24? (78-79°F 42%).

Daily high and low temperatures in major cities, hurricanes and other weather markets. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Weather markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 2.9%+0.1 pts$67.4KJan 1, 2027
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24?92-93°F 46.5%+21.0 pts$24.7KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?78-79°F 42%+11.0 pts$22.0KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24?34°C 58%-7.0 pts$20.1KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24?13°C 54.5%-1.0 pts$18.3KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 24?70-71°F 35.5%+13.0 pts$17.4KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Milan on September 24?24°C 49.5%+12.5 pts$16.0KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Paris on September 24?24°C 38%$15.9KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?23°C 36%+16.0 pts$15.5KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Manila on September 24?33°C 46.5%+10.0 pts$14.6KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 24?21°C or higher 42.5%+24.0 pts$14.2KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 24?29°C 59%+4.5 pts$14.1KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 24?28°C 36.5%+7.5 pts$13.7KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Singapore on September 24?32°C 53.5%+6.0 pts$13.0KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 24?26°C 42%+9.5 pts$12.6KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in London on September 24?22°C 46%+10.5 pts$12.5KSep 24, 2026
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 24?27°C 81.5%+34.5 pts$11.8KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 24?19°C 61.5%+21.0 pts$11.1KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in NYC on September 24?66-67°F 55%+29.5 pts$11.1KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 24?25°C 54.5%+10.0 pts$10.7KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Houston on September 24?92-93°F 46.5%+7.0 pts$10.3KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 24?14°C 48.5%+15.0 pts$9.6KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Munich on September 24?17°C 44.5%+7.5 pts$9.4KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 24?23°C 25%+8.5 pts$9.3KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 24?32°C 46.5%+18.0 pts$9.0KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 24?34°C 47.5%+13.5 pts$8.9KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 24?18°C 67.5%+4.0 pts$8.5KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 24?27°C 34%+7.5 pts$7.5KSep 24, 2026
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?1 75%+0.5 pts$7.4KMar 2, 2027
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 24?26°C 38%+2.5 pts$7.4KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Denver on September 24?72-73°F 27.5%+3.5 pts$7.4KSep 24, 2026
Where will it rain on September 23?Washington, DC 99.5%+12.5 pts$7.0KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 24?14°C 44%+17.0 pts$6.9KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 24?68-69°F 56.5%+16.0 pts$6.6KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 24?19°C 66.5%+18.5 pts$6.5KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 24?32°C 39.5%+3.5 pts$6.3KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Miami on September 24?90-91°F 52.5%+0.5 pts$6.2KSep 24, 2026
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 24?20°C 71.5%+46.5 pts$5.8KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in Busan on September 24?30°C 62.5%+12.0 pts$5.5KSep 24, 2026
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 24?74-75°F 24%-2.0 pts$5.4KSep 24, 2026

83 smaller markets are not shown; all 123 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Weather odds on Polymarket today?

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 123 live Weather markets with $611.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? (Yes 2.9%), followed by Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24? (92-93°F 46.5%), Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24? (78-79°F 42%).

How many Weather markets are open on Polymarket?

123 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

Use this data

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<p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/weather/">Weather odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>

Free JSON

/api/v1/topics/weather.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

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