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Updated October 18, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 18, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑ 3.25T at 72%, followed by ↑ 3.5T at 44%, ↑ 3.75T at 15%. The market has $22.1K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 2.75T (settled) | 100% | +1.2 pts | $5.5K |
| ↑ 2.5T (settled) | 100% | +2.1 pts | $2.5K |
| ↑ 3T (settled) | 100% | +0.8 pts | $1.3K |
| ↑ 3.25T | 72% | -1.5 pts | $495 |
| ↑ 3.5T | 44% | +1.0 pts | $877 |
| ↑ 3.75T | 15% | — | $5.2K |
| ↓ 2T | 13% | +1.0 pts | $1.4K |
| ↑ 4T | 5.9% | +1.1 pts | $3.9K |
| ↓ 1.5T | 4.5% | — | $337 |
| ↓ 1.75T | 4.2% | -0.2 pts | $588 |
Total volume $22.1K · 24h volume $1.3K · Liquidity $5.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ ↑ 3.25T ■ ↑ 3.5T ■ ↑ 3.75T · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches a value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High values, below for ↓ Low values) the listed value on any date from the creation of this market through December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is CoinGecko, specifically the "Market Cap" figure shown when mousing over a given date on the "Total Crypto Market Cap" chart available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/charts. A data point on the CoinGecko chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published.
Please note that this market depends solely on the CoinGecko "Total Crypto Market Cap" chart. Data from other sources, indices, aggregators, or exchanges will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Crypto Prices odds
As of October 18, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑ 3.25T at 72%, followed by ↑ 3.5T at 44%, ↑ 3.75T at 15%. The market has $22.1K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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