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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is by December 31, 2027 at 66.5%, followed by by September 30, 2027 at 46%, by June 30, 2027 at 41.5%. The market has $52.0K in total volume and $2.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| by December 31, 2027 | 66.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.2K |
| by September 30, 2027 | 46% | +2.0 pts | $16.3K |
| by June 30, 2027 | 41.5% | — | $4.3K |
| by March 31, 2027 | 32% | -2.5 pts | $7.1K |
| by December 31, 2026 | 19.5% | -0.5 pts | $7.2K |
| by September 30, 2026 | <0.1% | -0.9 pts | $15.9K |
Total volume $52.0K · 24h volume $2.4K · Liquidity $60.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ by December 31, 2027 ■ by September 30, 2027 ■ by June 30, 2027 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $4,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Ethereum odds · Crypto Prices odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is by December 31, 2027 at 66.5%, followed by by September 30, 2027 at 46%, by June 30, 2027 at 41.5%. The market has $52.0K in total volume and $2.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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