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Updated October 15, 2026 at 01:36 UTC · refreshed twice a day · daily markets settle at noon ET
Polymarket traders put Ethereum's price at noon ET on October 15 at about $2,429 (the median implied by the "above" ladder), with a 50% range of $2,376–$2,470. They give 68% to ETH above $2,400 and 6.5% to ETH above $2,500; the single most likely range is $2,400–$2,500 (60%); chance ETH closes higher than the day before: 39.5%.
| Noon ET on | Median | 50% range | 80% range | Chance of up day | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 15 | $2,429 | $2,376–$2,470 | $2,324–$2,494 | 39.5% | $126.7K |
| October 16 | $2,426 | $2,355–$2,481 | $2,304–$2,546 | 50% | $119.1K |
| October 17 | $2,425 | $2,349–$2,486 | $2,289–$2,565 | — | $29.5K |
| October 18 | $2,426 | $2,345–$2,493 | $2,272–$2,574 | — | $19.1K |
| October 19 | $2,426 | $2,340–$2,503 | $2,251–$2,591 | — | $10.4K |
| October 20 | $2,425 | $2,327–$2,515 | $2,225–$2,614 | — | $9.7K |
| October 21 | $2,425 | $2,323–$2,529 | $2,217–$2,636 | — | $2.0K |
Median and ranges are read off each day's "above" ladder: the price where the chance of closing above it is 50% (median), 75%–25% (50% range) and 90%–10% (80% range).
| Price | Chance above | |
|---|---|---|
| $2,200 | 98.9% | |
| $2,300 | 97.1% | |
| $2,400 | 68% | |
| $2,500 | 6.5% | |
| $2,600 | 0.9% |
| Range | Chance | |
|---|---|---|
| $2,100–$2,200 | 0.6% | |
| $2,200–$2,300 | 1.8% | |
| $2,300–$2,400 | 31.2% | |
| $2,400–$2,500 | 60% | |
| $2,500–$2,600 | 5.5% | |
| $2,600–$2,700 | 0.9% |
Ethereum has already dipped to $2,500 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $2,800 | 2.1% |
| ↑ reach $2,700 | 2.7% |
| ↑ reach $2,600 | 11% |
| ↑ reach $2,500 | 44.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,400 | 84.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,300 | 27.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,200 | 8.6% |
| ↓ dip to $2,100 | 4.7% |
Ethereum has already reached $2,700; already dipped to $2,500 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $3,300 | 2.1% |
| ↑ reach $3,200 | 2.7% |
| ↑ reach $3,100 | 3.4% |
| ↑ reach $3,000 | 6.5% |
| ↑ reach $2,900 | 9.5% |
| ↑ reach $2,800 | 16.5% |
| ↑ reach $2,600 | 49.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,400 | 91.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,300 | 58.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,200 | 36% |
| ↓ dip to $2,100 | 22.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,000 | 11.3% |
Ethereum has already reached $2,750; already dipped to $2,000 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $6,500 | 2.2% |
| ↑ reach $6,000 | 2.4% |
| ↑ reach $5,500 | 2.9% |
| ↑ reach $5,000 | 3.8% |
| ↑ reach $4,500 | 5.0% |
| ↑ reach $4,000 | 7.5% |
| ↑ reach $3,500 | 16% |
| ↑ reach $3,000 | 38.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,250 | 56.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,750 | 15.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,500 | 9.1% |
| ↓ dip to $1,250 | 5.5% |
Educational information, not financial advice. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not quotes you can trade at.
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Polymarket View, “Ethereum (ETH) price prediction from Polymarket odds”, October 15, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ethereum-price-prediction/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket traders put Ethereum's price at noon ET on October 15 at about $2,429 (the median implied by the "above" ladder), with a 50% range of $2,376–$2,470. They give 68% to ETH above $2,400 and 6.5% to ETH above $2,500; the single most likely range is $2,400–$2,500 (60%); chance ETH closes higher than the day before: 39.5%.
From Polymarket's daily "Ethereum above ___ on <date>?" markets, which settle on the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle close at 12:00 ET. Each strike's Yes price is the market's chance that ETH closes above it; the median is where that chance crosses 50%, and the 50% range runs from the 75% to the 25% strike.
Polymarket's "Ethereum Up or Down on October 15" market gives 39.5% to up versus the previous day's noon ET close.
Daily price ladders track volatility, not a forecast of direction: the implied range is as wide as traders think the next day's moves can be. Our accuracy study measures how often Polymarket favourites win across resolved markets: polymarkettrader.com/odds/accuracy/.
Free JSON: /api/v1/crypto-prices.json (CC BY 4.0). Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket or Binance.