Home › Polymarket odds › Crypto price predictions › Ethereum
Updated November 9, 2026 at 02:03 UTC · refreshed twice a day · daily markets settle at noon ET
Polymarket traders put Ethereum's price at noon ET on November 9 at about $2,145 (the median implied by the "above" ladder), with a 50% range of $2,105–$2,186. They give 77.8% to ETH above $2,100 and 16.6% to ETH above $2,200; the single most likely range is $2,100–$2,200 (60.6%); chance ETH closes higher than the day before: 7.5%.
| Noon ET on | Median | 50% range | 80% range | Chance of up day | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 9 | $2,145 | $2,105–$2,186 | $2,039–$2,244 | 7.5% | $164.1K |
| November 10 | $2,145 | $2,076–$2,207 | $2,015–$2,277 | 50% | $42.2K |
| November 11 | $2,145 | $2,062–$2,221 | $1,986–$2,291 | — | $14.9K |
| November 12 | $2,145 | $2,053–$2,233 | $1,964–$2,313 | — | $16.9K |
| November 13 | $2,143 | $2,046–$2,244 | $1,948–$2,344 | — | $45.2K |
| November 14 | $2,140 | $2,040–$2,244 | $1,945–$2,347 | — | $10.3K |
| November 15 | $2,140 | $2,029–$2,253 | $1,926–$2,363 | — | $2.0K |
Median and ranges are read off each day's "above" ladder: the price where the chance of closing above it is 50% (median), 75%–25% (50% range) and 90%–10% (80% range).
| Price | Chance above | |
|---|---|---|
| $1,800 | 99% | |
| $1,900 | 98.6% | |
| $2,000 | 97.8% | |
| $2,100 | 77.8% | |
| $2,200 | 16.6% | |
| $2,300 | 1.6% | |
| $2,400 | 0.5% |
| Range | Chance | |
|---|---|---|
| $1,900–$2,000 | 1.5% | |
| $2,000–$2,100 | 22.4% | |
| $2,100–$2,200 | 60.6% | |
| $2,200–$2,300 | 14.5% | |
| $2,300–$2,400 | 0.9% | |
| $2,400–$2,500 | 1.1% |
Ethereum has already reached $2,400; already dipped to $2,100 in this window.
Every open level is priced below 2% or above 98%.
Ethereum has already reached $2,400; already dipped to $2,100 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $3,100 | 3.2% |
| ↑ reach $3,000 | 3.7% |
| ↑ reach $2,900 | 5.5% |
| ↑ reach $2,800 | 8.0% |
| ↑ reach $2,700 | 10.5% |
| ↑ reach $2,600 | 15.5% |
| ↑ reach $2,500 | 24.5% |
| ↓ dip to $2,000 | 60.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,900 | 39.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,800 | 24.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,700 | 15% |
| ↓ dip to $1,600 | 9.0% |
Ethereum has already reached $2,750; already dipped to $2,000 in this window.
| Level | Chance |
|---|---|
| ↑ reach $4,500 | 2.1% |
| ↑ reach $4,000 | 3.4% |
| ↑ reach $3,500 | 4.5% |
| ↑ reach $3,000 | 13.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,750 | 27.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,500 | 12.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,250 | 6.5% |
| ↓ dip to $1,000 | 3.4% |
| ↓ dip to $800 | 2.8% |
Educational information, not financial advice. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not quotes you can trade at.
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Polymarket View, “Ethereum (ETH) price prediction from Polymarket odds”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ethereum-price-prediction/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket traders put Ethereum's price at noon ET on November 9 at about $2,145 (the median implied by the "above" ladder), with a 50% range of $2,105–$2,186. They give 77.8% to ETH above $2,100 and 16.6% to ETH above $2,200; the single most likely range is $2,100–$2,200 (60.6%); chance ETH closes higher than the day before: 7.5%.
From Polymarket's daily "Ethereum above ___ on <date>?" markets, which settle on the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle close at 12:00 ET. Each strike's Yes price is the market's chance that ETH closes above it; the median is where that chance crosses 50%, and the 50% range runs from the 75% to the 25% strike.
Polymarket's "Ethereum Up or Down on November 9" market gives 7.5% to up versus the previous day's noon ET close.
Daily price ladders track volatility, not a forecast of direction: the implied range is as wide as traders think the next day's moves can be. Our accuracy study measures how often Polymarket favourites win across resolved markets: polymarkettrader.com/odds/accuracy/.
Free JSON: /api/v1/crypto-prices.json (CC BY 4.0). Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket or Binance.