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Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of September 28, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 12.5%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 11.5%, December 31, 2026 at 4.9%. The market has $101.0K in total volume and $282 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 12.5% | +0.5 pts | $13.1K |
| June 30, 2027 | 11.5% | +2.5 pts | $5.4K |
| December 31, 2026 | 4.9% | -0.5 pts | $82.5K |
Total volume $101.0K · 24h volume $282 · Liquidity $5.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31, 2027 ■ June 30, 2027 ■ December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively.
If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Crypto Prices odds
As of September 28, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 12.5%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 11.5%, December 31, 2026 at 4.9%. The market has $101.0K in total volume and $282 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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