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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 15.5% (No 84.5%), with $20.0K traded in total and $467 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15.5% | — | $20.0K |
| No | 84.5% | — | — |
Total volume $20.0K · 24h volume $467 · Liquidity $4.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bryan Johnson announces that he has dunked a basketball, as accepted by him as a successful completion of his challenge, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Bryan Johnson or his team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 15.5% (No 84.5%), with $20.0K traded in total and $467 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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