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Pop Culture Odds on Polymarket

Updated November 9, 2026 · 91 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 91 live Pop Culture markets with $1.80M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Will the US confirm that aliens exist? (By December 31 1.4%), followed by Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? (260-279 39.2%), Elon Musk # tweets November 7 - November 9, 2026? (40-64 69.5%).

Pop culture: entertainment, celebrities, streaming, music, awards and online moments. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Pop Culture markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Will the US confirm that aliens exist?By December 31 1.4%-0.8 pts$374.7KJan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?260-279 39.2%+16.3 pts$327.4KNov 10, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets November 7 - November 9, 2026?40-64 69.5%+52.0 pts$253.9KNov 9, 2026
Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon?By November 12 (11:59 PM ET) 98%+20.9 pts$179.5KNov 17, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?260-279 17.5%+7.0 pts$124.5KNov 13, 2026
Next James Bond actor?Jack Lowden 38.8%+22.4 pts$103.3KJan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?280-299 12.5%+1.0 pts$47.5KNov 17, 2026
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 0.7%—$28.6KJan 1, 2027
Highest grossing movie in 2026?Spider-Man: Brand New Day 86.5%-2.0 pts$28.2KJan 8, 2027
TIME Person of the Year 2026Zohran Mamdani 20.5%-3.0 pts$24.9KJul 1, 2027
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 1.6%-0.1 pts$21.4KNov 20, 2026
"Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office400m+ 61.5%+7.5 pts$17.3KDec 20, 2026
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?Avengers: Doomsday 71.5%-1.5 pts$16.0KFeb 1, 2027
Oscars 2027: Best Picture WinnerThe Odyssey 59.5%+2.0 pts$13.1KJul 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets November 9 - November 11, 2026?65-89 35.5%+3.0 pts$11.0KNov 11, 2026
Eurovision Asia Winner 2026Malaysia 54.5%+2.0 pts$10.1KNov 15, 2026
Nozempic 2: Who loses the most weight?Cuffem 54%-25.5 pts$9.3KNov 13, 2026
Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of November 14You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo 97.8%+12.8 pts$8.2KNov 11, 2026
"You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by November 30?100-125M 65.6%+62.3 pts$8.0KDec 1, 2026
Who will be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Kodak Black 92%+3.0 pts$7.7KNov 27, 2026
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?1 91.5%+0.5 pts$7.5KMar 2, 2027
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026?Yes 8.5%—$6.7KJan 1, 2027
"FRESH" First Week Album Sales?60k+ 39.8%-51.3 pts$6.6KNov 13, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets in November 2026?1000+ 80.5%-6.0 pts$6.5KDec 1, 2026
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?Avengers: Doomsday 69.5%+12.0 pts$6.3KFeb 1, 2027
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain?By December 31 74.5%+1.0 pts$5.7KJan 1, 2027
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?Lindsay Clancy 27%-5.5 pts$5.5KApr 1, 2027
Turner Prize 2026 WinnerKira Freije 36%+6.0 pts$5.5KApr 1, 2027
Billboard #1 Artist 2026Morgan Wallen 66%-10.8 pts$5.3KApr 1, 2027
Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” Sale Price$18m-$21m 27%-10.5 pts$5.3KNov 19, 2026
GTA VI on PC in what month?After March 2027 67%-8.0 pts$5.2KApr 1, 2027
Top Spotify Artist 2026Bad Bunny 95.4%+0.1 pts$5.0KFeb 1, 2027
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?Yes 82%+1.0 pts$5.0KDec 20, 2026
Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” Sale Price$50m-$60m 36.5%-4.5 pts$4.3KNov 18, 2026
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?Spider-Man: Brand New Day 74.5%+1.5 pts$4.3KFeb 1, 2027
Nozempic 2: Which team loses the most weight?Adin Ross's Team 28%+7.5 pts$4.3KNov 13, 2026
"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?90+ 98.1%-0.4 pts$4.1KDec 31, 2026
Eurovision Asia 2026: Public Vote WinnerMalaysia 38%-0.5 pts$3.5KNov 15, 2026
What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (November 10)Nobody Wants This: Season 3 82.5%+45.1 pts$3.4KNov 11, 2026
Wassily Kandinsky's “Betonte Ecken” Sale Price$60m-$75m 36%-1.5 pts$3.2KNov 18, 2026

51 smaller markets are not shown; all 91 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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How these markets work: Box office markets · Awards markets.

People in these markets

Elon Musk · Josh O'Connor · Tom Holland · Robert Pattinson · Jacob Elordi · Timothée Chalamet · Zohran Mamdani · Bernie Sanders · Donald Trump · Benjamin Netanyahu · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Marco Rubio · James Talarico · Mojtaba Khamenei · Abdul El-Sayed

Related guides

More Culture & Entertainment odds

Movies & Box Office (92) · Music (79) · Awards (108) · Celebrities & Creators (87)

Frequently asked questions

What are the Pop Culture odds on Polymarket today?

As of November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 91 live Pop Culture markets with $1.80M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Will the US confirm that aliens exist? (By December 31 1.4%), followed by Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? (260-279 39.2%), Elon Musk # tweets November 7 - November 9, 2026? (40-64 69.5%).

How many Pop Culture markets are open on Polymarket?

91 live markets as of November 9, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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/api/v1/topics/culture.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

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Polymarket View, “Pop Culture odds on Polymarket”, November 9, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/culture/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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