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Updated September 23, 2026 · 97 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of September 23, 2026 at 18:01 UTC, Polymarket lists 97 live Pop Culture markets with $1.73M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Will the US confirm that aliens exist? (By December 31 3.5%), followed by Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026? (200-219 44.5%), Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026? (180-199 23.5%).
Pop culture: entertainment, celebrities, streaming, music, awards and online moments. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist? | By December 31 3.5% | -0.3 pts | $502.5K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026? | 200-219 44.5% | +21.0 pts | $307.0K | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026? | 180-199 23.5% | +8.0 pts | $117.3K | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026? | 200-219 19.5% | -1.0 pts | $99.9K | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes 1.8% | +0.2 pts | $85.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 50.4% | +15.2 pts | $59.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| # of views of MrBeast video on day 4? | 56.5-58.0M 99.8% | +28.2 pts | $58.3K | Sep 23, 2026 |
| "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office | 22m+ 64.5% | +1.5 pts | $43.1K | Sep 27, 2026 |
| America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up | Come Here 32% | +24.0 pts | $35.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? | 60-70M 65.2% | +45.6 pts | $31.1K | Sep 26, 2026 |
| "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30? | 950 - 960m 98.1% | -0.8 pts | $21.6K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026? | 840-879 32.5% | +13.5 pts | $21.1K | Oct 1, 2026 |
| VMA Best Latin 2026 | Choka Choka (Anitta and Shakira) 40.5% | -4.5 pts | $18.7K | Sep 28, 2026 |
| America's Got Talent S21: Winner | Nene Royal 95% | +18.5 pts | $18.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026? | 1000+ 35.5% | -6.5 pts | $17.5K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes 12.2% | +2.5 pts | $13.6K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? | China 5+ times 60.5% | — | $12.6K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| VMA Best Dance 2026 | Stateside + Zara Larsson (PinkPantheress) 38% | +8.5 pts | $12.4K | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Elon Musk # tweets September 24 - September 26, 2026? | 40-64 58.5% | +5.5 pts | $12.3K | Sep 26, 2026 |
| GTA VI released? | By November 30 92.5% | -1.5 pts | $9.6K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| "Sense and Sensibility" Rotten Tomatoes Score? | 60+ 97.4% | — | $8.7K | Oct 19, 2026 |
| # of views of MrBeast video on day 5? | 60-61.25M 69.5% | — | $8.2K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| VMA Video of the Year 2026 | The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 54.5% | +2.5 pts | $8.1K | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? | 1 75% | +1.0 pts | $7.2K | Mar 2, 2027 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant? | By December 31, 2026 12.5% | +1.0 pts | $6.9K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| VMA Best Alternative 2026 | The Cure (Olivia Rodrigo) 70% | +11.5 pts | $6.8K | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Miley Cyrus 'Bass Persuades' First Week Album Sales? | 50-60k 50% | +43.1 pts | $6.8K | Sep 26, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 | October 31 97.5% | -0.1 pts | $6.5K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30? | $900B-$1.00T 60.5% | -11.0 pts | $6.3K | Oct 1, 2026 |
| What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly? | Nuclear 95.3% | +2.4 pts | $6.1K | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Dancing with the Stars S35: Winner? | Ezra Frech 27% | +13.0 pts | $5.9K | Apr 1, 2027 |
| TIME Person of the Year 2026 | Zohran Mamdani 26.5% | -1.0 pts | $5.7K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office | <17m 52.5% | +35.5 pts | $5.5K | Oct 4, 2026 |
| Big Brother Season 28 Winner | Drew Campbell 41.1% | +27.7 pts | $5.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 93.5% | — | $5.4K | Jan 8, 2027 |
| Big Brother Season 28: 3rd Place | Dee Valladares 31.5% | -5.0 pts | $5.1K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Will Trump publicly insult someone? | September 29 92% | +3.5 pts | $5.0K | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | Yes 0.8% | +0.2 pts | $4.8K | Oct 8, 2026 |
| "Digger" Rotten Tomatoes Score? | 60+ 34.8% | -31.4 pts | $4.3K | Oct 10, 2026 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner | Julianne Moore 64.5% | -2.5 pts | $3.9K | Jul 1, 2027 |
57 smaller markets are not shown; all 97 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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Movies & Box Office (59) · Music (87) · Awards (91) · Celebrities & Creators (79)
As of September 23, 2026 at 18:01 UTC, Polymarket lists 97 live Pop Culture markets with $1.73M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Will the US confirm that aliens exist? (By December 31 3.5%), followed by Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026? (200-219 44.5%), Elon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026? (180-199 23.5%).
97 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/culture/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Pop Culture odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/culture/">Pop Culture odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/culture.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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