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Pop Culture Odds on Polymarket

Updated October 10, 2026 · 96 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of October 10, 2026 at 16:47 UTC, Polymarket lists 96 live Pop Culture markets with $1.41M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? (360-379 17.5%), followed by Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? (240-259 11.5%), Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026? (40-64 37.5%).

Pop culture: entertainment, celebrities, streaming, music, awards and online moments. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Pop Culture markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?360-379 17.5%+1.7 pts$459.0KOct 13, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?240-259 11.5%-1.0 pts$214.2KOct 16, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?40-64 37.5%+0.5 pts$134.5KOct 12, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist?By December 31 3.0%+0.1 pts$131.1KJan 1, 2027
"Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office24-27m 56%+37.0 pts$84.6KOct 11, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)215-223M 99.9%++75.0 pts$48.0KOct 11, 2026
"The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office<5m 65%+18.0 pts$30.2KOct 11, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?220-239 14.5%—$25.5KOct 20, 2026
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 1.4%—$23.6KJan 1, 2027
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?Lindsay Clancy 20.5%+0.5 pts$15.9KApr 1, 2027
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?Flávio Bolsonaro 83.5%+0.5 pts$13.6KOct 31, 2026
"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?150 - 160m 80.5%+9.5 pts$12.9KOct 31, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?17.5–20M 35%+5.5 pts$12.7KOct 12, 2026
"Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office3-4m 49%-15.5 pts$11.9KOct 11, 2026
Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026Ariel Pakes 19.5%-1.5 pts$10.3KOct 13, 2026
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes 92.5%+12.0 pts$10.1KJan 1, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?1000+ 84%+9.5 pts$9.6KNov 1, 2026
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?Barack Obama 96.4%+0.2 pts$9.4KOct 31, 2026
"Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office13-14m 35.5%+4.0 pts$8.9KOct 11, 2026
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?The Odyssey 83.5%—$8.8KJul 1, 2027
# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?40–45M 38.5%+20.0 pts$6.9KOct 18, 2026
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? (October 13)Animals 95.5%+57.0 pts$5.6KOct 13, 2026
Highest grossing movie in 2026?Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95.5%—$5.0KJan 8, 2027
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Yes 28.5%—$4.9KFeb 1, 2027
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%+4.5 pts$4.7KFeb 1, 2027
What will MrBeast say during his next gaming YouTube video?Minecraft 99.9%++22.9 pts$4.5KNov 30, 2026
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?The Odyssey 39.5%—$4.5KApr 1, 2027
What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 13)Animals 97.5%+6.5 pts$4.3KOct 13, 2026
"Avengers: Doomsday" Rotten Tomatoes Score?70+ 85%-2.9 pts$4.1KDec 21, 2026
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)150M+ 99.9%+—$3.9KOct 10, 2026
"The Social Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes Score?40+ 99.7%+0.2 pts$3.6KOct 12, 2026
"Other Mommy" Rotten Tomatoes Score?18+ 75%+3.5 pts$3.6KOct 12, 2026
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 1.6%-0.1 pts$3.6KMar 1, 2027
Next James Bond actor?Jack Lowden 37.5%-0.1 pts$3.6KJan 1, 2027
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?Travis Scott 54.5%+9.5 pts$3.5KJan 2, 2027
TIME Person of the Year 2026Zohran Mamdani 28.5%—$3.2KJul 1, 2027
What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 13)Doing Life 94.5%+37.5 pts$3.0KOct 13, 2026
"Resident Evil" 4th Weekend Box Office7m+ 97.5%+16.6 pts$2.7KOct 11, 2026
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes 9.5%+3.0 pts$2.4KJan 1, 2027
Amelia Earhart’s plane found by December 31, 2026?Yes 13.5%-5.5 pts$2.4KJan 1, 2027

56 smaller markets are not shown; all 96 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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How these markets work: Box office markets · Awards markets.

People in these markets

Elon Musk · LeBron James · Donald Trump · JD Vance · Benjamin Netanyahu · Nicolás Maduro · Kanye West · Bad Bunny · Vladimir Putin · Taylor Swift · Sabrina Carpenter · Erling Haaland · Chappell Roan · Matt Damon · Volodymyr Zelenskyy

More Culture & Entertainment odds

Movies & Box Office (80) · Music (68) · Awards (93) · Celebrities & Creators (84)

Frequently asked questions

What are the Pop Culture odds on Polymarket today?

As of October 10, 2026 at 16:47 UTC, Polymarket lists 96 live Pop Culture markets with $1.41M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026? (360-379 17.5%), followed by Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? (240-259 11.5%), Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026? (40-64 37.5%).

How many Pop Culture markets are open on Polymarket?

96 live markets as of October 10, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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/api/v1/topics/culture.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

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Polymarket View, “Pop Culture odds on Polymarket”, October 10, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/culture/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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