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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 96.6%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 95.9%, December 31, 2026 at 94.5%. The market has $120.4K in total volume and $757 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 96.6% | +0.9 pts | $13.1K |
| June 30, 2027 | 95.9% | -0.4 pts | $22.0K |
| December 31, 2026 | 94.5% | +2.1 pts | $23.3K |
| September 30, 2026 | 4.8% | -0.2 pts | $31.5K |
| June 30, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.7 pts | $30.6K |
Total volume $120.4K · 24h volume $757 · Liquidity $6.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31, 2027 ■ June 30, 2027 ■ December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cambria officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Cambria will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Token Launches & FDV odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 96.6%, followed by June 30, 2027 at 95.9%, December 31, 2026 at 94.5%. The market has $120.4K in total volume and $757 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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