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Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026? — Polymarket Odds

Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027

As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is 1M+ at 7.5%. The market has $510.1K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
800k+ (settled)100%
+1.2 pts$212.1K
1M+7.5%
-0.5 pts$298.0K

Total volume $510.1K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $7.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 25Sep 24

1M+ · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.

For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is 1M+ at 7.5%. The market has $510.1K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.

When does the Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026 market end?

The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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