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Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 4, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on No, after $27.8K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.0% | -1.1 pts | $27.8K |
| No | 100% | +1.1 pts | — |
Total volume $27.8K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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This market has closed. At the last update (November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on No, after $27.8K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is November 4, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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