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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 7.2% (No 92.8%), with $601.3K traded in total and $3.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7.2% | -12.6 pts | $601.3K |
| No | 92.8% | +12.6 pts | — |
Total volume $601.3K · 24h volume $3.8K · Liquidity $8.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $500B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source is DefiLlama’s Total Stablecoins page, available at:
https://defillama.com/stablecoins
A data point on the DefiLlama chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published.
If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Crypto Prices odds · Crypto Regulation odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 7.2% (No 92.8%), with $601.3K traded in total and $3.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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