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Crypto Regulation Odds on Polymarket

Updated November 7, 2026 · 21 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 21 live Crypto Regulation markets with $26.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? (Yes 2.1%), followed by Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? (Yes 3.1%), Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? (Mark Warner 5.2%).

Crypto laws and regulation: market-structure bills, stablecoin rules and enforcement. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Crypto Regulation markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes 2.1%-0.8 pts$13.1KJan 1, 2027
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Yes 3.1%-2.1 pts$5.5KJan 1, 2027
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Mark Warner 5.2%+2.1 pts$3.6KJan 2, 2027
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes 23%-4.5 pts$2.5KJan 1, 2027
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?Yes 2.2%-1.8 pts$1.4KJan 1, 2027
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes 5.3%-0.1 pts$133Jan 1, 2027
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes 1.3%+0.1 pts$34Jan 1, 2027
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes 4.0%—$0Jan 1, 2027
SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes 1.6%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Stablecoins depeg before 2027?GHO 9.2%+0.8 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?December 31, 2026 22.4%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?December 31, 2026 10.5%-0.5 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Above 64 13.9%+0.4 pts$0Jan 2, 2027
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?December 31, 2026 1.8%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.0%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Tom Lee charged by December 31?Yes 2.4%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?Yes 6.5%-0.5 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Ben Pasternak jailed?Yes 2.1%-0.1 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?Yes 6.5%-1.0 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Eric Adams charged by December 31?Yes 9.0%+1.0 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes 7.5%—$0Jan 1, 2027

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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People in these markets

Raphael Warnock · John Fetterman · Josh Hawley · Rand Paul · Ruben Gallego · Alex Padilla

More Crypto odds

Bitcoin (76) · Ethereum (93) · Solana (95) · XRP (101) · Crypto Prices (142) · Token Launches & FDV (167)

Frequently asked questions

What are the Crypto Regulation odds on Polymarket today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 21 live Crypto Regulation markets with $26.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? (Yes 2.1%), followed by Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? (Yes 3.1%), Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? (Mark Warner 5.2%).

How many Crypto Regulation markets are open on Polymarket?

21 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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Polymarket View, “Crypto Regulation odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/crypto-regulation/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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