HomeOddsEventsBlogToolsAPI

Home › Polymarket odds › Crypto

Crypto Regulation Odds on Polymarket

Updated September 23, 2026 · 22 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 22 live Crypto Regulation markets with $142.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? (Yes 6.2%), followed by Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? (Josh Hawley 15.6%), Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? (Yes 5.5%).

Crypto laws and regulation: market-structure bills, stablecoin rules and enforcement. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live Crypto Regulation markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes 6.2%+0.2 pts$120.8KJan 1, 2027
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Josh Hawley 15.6%+11.1 pts$14.9KJan 2, 2027
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Yes 5.5%-4.0 pts$3.2KJan 1, 2027
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes 27.5%-1.0 pts$2.2KJan 1, 2027
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Above 66 8.8%—$839Jan 2, 2027
SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes 1.8%-1.1 pts$408Jan 1, 2027
Senate passes Clarity Act?By October 31 4.5%-1.5 pts$210Nov 1, 2026
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes 2.5%-0.1 pts$105Jan 1, 2027
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes 9.5%—$69Jan 1, 2027
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes 10.5%+2.0 pts$50Jan 1, 2027
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?December 31, 2026 25%-2.0 pts$28Jan 1, 2027
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes 21.1%+9.8 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Stablecoins depeg before 2027?USD0 28.5%+3.5 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?December 31, 2026 59%+0.4 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?December 31, 2026 5.7%-3.8 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Yes 7.0%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Tom Lee charged by December 31?Yes 1.6%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Ben Pasternak jailed?Yes 4.0%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?Yes 7.0%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?Yes 16.5%+3.0 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?Yes 3.4%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Eric Adams charged by December 31?Yes 16.5%—$0Jan 1, 2027

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

🔔 Get alerts when big Crypto Regulation markets move — free Telegram watchlist

More Crypto odds

Bitcoin (82) · Ethereum (91) · Solana (94) · XRP (97) · Crypto Prices (146) · Token Launches & FDV (163)

Frequently asked questions

What are the Crypto Regulation odds on Polymarket today?

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 22 live Crypto Regulation markets with $142.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? (Yes 6.2%), followed by Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? (Josh Hawley 15.6%), Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? (Yes 5.5%).

How many Crypto Regulation markets are open on Polymarket?

22 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

Use this data

Embed Crypto Regulation odds

Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded Crypto Regulation markets and updates twice a day.

<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/crypto-regulation/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Crypto Regulation odds on Polymarket"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/crypto-regulation/">Crypto Regulation odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>

Free JSON

/api/v1/topics/crypto-regulation.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog