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Updated September 30, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 30, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 29.5% (No 70.5%), with $27.6K traded in total and $301 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 29.5% | -12.2 pts | $27.6K |
| No | 70.5% | +12.2 pts | — |
Total volume $27.6K · 24h volume $301 · Liquidity $262. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve officially releases Deadlock by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, "officially released" is defined as Deadlock being made publicly available to all players without requiring an invite, key, or any other form of restricted access on at least one platform. A transition to open Early Access on Steam qualifies as an official release, provided it is accessible to the general public without restrictions. An invite-only playtest, closed beta, or limited technical test does not qualify, regardless of player count or media coverage.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of Deadlock.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and the Deadlock Steam page (https://store.steampowered.com/app/1422450/Deadlock/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 30, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 29.5% (No 70.5%), with $27.6K traded in total and $301 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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