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Updated September 27, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: July 22, 2030
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 at 38.5%, followed by Madrid at 38.5%, Moroccan city at 21.1%. The market has $225.3K in total volume and $622 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 | 38.5% | — | $136.8K |
| Madrid | 38.5% | — | $33.7K |
| Moroccan city | 21.1% | -0.6 pts | $32.1K |
| Barcelona | 1.4% | -0.1 pts | $10.8K |
| Portuguese city | 0.5% | — | $12.0K |
Total volume $225.3K · 24h volume $622 · Liquidity $82.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 ■ Madrid ■ Moroccan city · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030.
A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own.
If FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials.
A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final.
If no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Soccer odds · Sports odds
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 at 38.5%, followed by Madrid at 38.5%, Moroccan city at 21.1%. The market has $225.3K in total volume and $622 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 22, 2030. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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