Home › Glossary › Wisdom of crowds
The wisdom of crowds is the idea that the combined judgement of many people is often more accurate than most individuals'. Prediction markets pool that judgement into a price, with money at stake.
Our accuracy study checks how well Polymarket prices a week before close matched what happened.
Calibration · Brier score · Prediction market
Our accuracy study checks how well Polymarket prices a week before close matched what happened.
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