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Updated September 27, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 4, 2026
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alisa Simmons at 73%, followed by Tim O'Hare at 21.5%. The market has $45.9K in total volume and $894 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alisa Simmons | 73% | +2.5 pts | $6.7K |
| Tim O'Hare | 21.5% | -0.5 pts | $39.2K |
Total volume $45.9K · 24h volume $894 · Liquidity $12.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Alisa Simmons ■ Tim O'Hare · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: 2028 Presidential Election odds · Politics odds
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alisa Simmons at 73%, followed by Tim O'Hare at 21.5%. The market has $45.9K in total volume and $894 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 4, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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