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Updated October 10, 2026 · 99 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of October 10, 2026 at 16:47 UTC, Polymarket lists 99 live 2028 Presidential Election markets with $2.10M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms (Democrats Sweep 61.5%), followed by Texas Senate Election Winner (James Talarico (D) 63.5%), Which party will win the House in 2026? (Democratic Party 90.5%).
The 2028 US presidential race: party nominees, the eventual winner and candidate announcements. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
🗳 2028 election odds by candidate: nomination and presidency chances side by side.
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| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 61.5% | -1.0 pts | $470.4K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 63.5% | +3.0 pts | $316.8K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 90.5% | — | $305.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 19.1% | -0.6 pts | $226.4K | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 48.4% | — | $167.5K | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17.8% | -0.1 pts | $151.8K | Nov 8, 2028 |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 62.5% | -1.0 pts | $61.7K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 69.5% | +1.0 pts | $46.7K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 58.5% | +1.0 pts | $33.3K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| CA-23 House Election Winner | Jay Obernolte (R) 95.8% | -0.4 pts | $23.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| SC-01 House Election Winner | Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 69.5% | — | $18.6K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 71.5% | — | $11.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| PA-11 House Election Winner | Lloyd Smucker (R) 95.8% | +2.1 pts | $11.0K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| MD-01 House Election Winner | Andy Harris (R) 94.5% | +5.0 pts | $10.4K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Minnesota Senate Election Winner | Peggy Flanagan (D) 87.5% | +1.0 pts | $9.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Vermont Governor Election Winner | Phil Scott (R) 74.5% | +1.0 pts | $8.8K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| TN-07 House Election Winner | Matt Van Epps (R) 96.5% | +1.2 pts | $8.7K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| NY-21 House Election Winner | Anthony Constantino (R) 75.5% | +5.0 pts | $8.5K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| KS-01 House Election Winner | Tracey Mann (R) 95% | +0.2 pts | $8.3K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| New Mexico Governor Election Winner | Deb Haaland (D) 90.5% | -5.0 pts | $8.2K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| IL-16 House Election Winner | Darin LaHood (R) 95.5% | -0.7 pts | $8.0K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| CA-48 House Election Winner | Marni von Wilpert (D) 93.5% | +4.0 pts | $7.6K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| TX-35 House Election Winner | Johnny Garcia (D) 60% | -0.5 pts | $7.4K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| FL-03 House Election Winner | Kat Cammack (R) 94.5% | — | $7.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Massachusetts Governor Election Winner | Maura Healey (D) 96% | +0.9 pts | $6.3K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| TX-36 House Election Winner | Brian Babin (R) 94.5% | — | $6.1K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Michigan Governor Election Winner | Jocelyn Benson (D) 93.8% | +0.7 pts | $6.0K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Kansas Senate Election Winner | Roger Marshall (R) 62.5% | +1.0 pts | $6.0K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Alaska Senate Election Winner | Mary Peltola 73.5% | — | $5.6K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 77% | +2.6 pts | $5.5K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| California Governor Election Winner | Xavier Becerra 96.1% | +0.1 pts | $4.8K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Kansas Governor Election Winner | Ty Masterson (R) 74.5% | -2.0 pts | $4.6K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| IN-03 House Election Winner | Marlin Stutzman (R) 95% | +0.1 pts | $4.4K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 58.5% | — | $4.4K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| IN-04 House Election Winner | Jim Baird (R) 94.5% | — | $4.2K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| SC-07 House Election Winner | Russell Fry (R) 95.5% | -0.5 pts | $4.0K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| FL-17 House Election Winner | Greg Steube (R) 95% | -0.4 pts | $4.0K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Georgia Senate Election Winner | Jon Ossoff (D) 96.5% | -0.1 pts | $4.0K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| AR-02 House Election Winner | French Hill (R) 81.5% | +2.0 pts | $3.9K | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Maine Governor Election Winner | Hannah Pingree (D) 95.9% | +0.7 pts | $3.9K | Nov 4, 2026 |
59 smaller markets are not shown; all 99 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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As of October 10, 2026 at 16:47 UTC, Polymarket lists 99 live 2028 Presidential Election markets with $2.10M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms (Democrats Sweep 61.5%), followed by Texas Senate Election Winner (James Talarico (D) 63.5%), Which party will win the House in 2026? (Democratic Party 90.5%).
99 live markets as of October 10, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded 2028 Presidential Election markets and updates twice a day.
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/2028-election/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="2028 Presidential Election odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2028-election/">2028 Presidential Election odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/2028-election.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
Markdown for READMEs and newsletters:
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Polymarket View, “2028 Presidential Election odds on Polymarket”, October 10, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2028-election/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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