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2028 Presidential Election Odds on Polymarket

Updated November 7, 2026 · 45 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 45 live 2028 Presidential Election markets with $5.67M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 (Jon Ossoff 27.3%), followed by Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 (J.D. Vance 36.5%), Presidential Election Winner 2028 (JD Vance 18.6%).

The 2028 US presidential race: party nominees, the eventual winner and candidate announcements. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

🗳 2028 election odds by candidate: nomination and presidency chances side by side.

🇪🇸 Versión en español · 🇧🇷 Versão em português

Live 2028 Presidential Election markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Jon Ossoff 27.3%-0.4 pts$2.19MNov 8, 2028
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance 36.5%-2.0 pts$2.12MNov 8, 2028
Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance 18.6%-1.8 pts$1.24MNov 8, 2028
Next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 16.5%-5.0 pts$27.6KJan 1, 2028
2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?Other 64.5%+2.2 pts$19.8KNov 30, 2026
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by December 31?↑ 70% 28%-27.0 pts$9.5KJan 1, 2027
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by March 31?↑ 70% 48.5%—$7.5KApr 1, 2027
Next US Senate Minority Leader?John Thune 92.5%+6.0 pts$7.3KJan 3, 2027
Next US president's age at inauguration?50+ 34.5%—$7.2KJan 21, 2029
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Democratic 67.5%—$6.4KNov 8, 2028
Trump Jr.'s Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↑ 4% 4.7%-19.9 pts$4.0KJan 1, 2027
Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 4% 44.5%+2.0 pts$3.0KJan 1, 2027
Balance of Power: 2028 ElectionDemocratic Trifecta 61%—$2.8KNov 8, 2028
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 12% 12.5%+5.0 pts$2.4KJan 1, 2027
Rubio's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 15% 45.5%-0.5 pts$2.0KJan 1, 2027
Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?Jon Ossoff 96.5%+2.0 pts$1.7KNov 30, 2026
Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?Yes 39.5%+2.5 pts$1.7KApr 1, 2027
2028 Presidential Election: Alaska WinnerRepublican Party 77%+2.5 pts$1.6KNov 8, 2028
National Popular Vote Compact implemented before the 2028 election?Yes 28.5%—$1.6KNov 7, 2028
2028 Presidential Election: Florida WinnerRepublican Party 77.5%-2.0 pts$1.6KNov 8, 2028
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 12% 64.5%+0.5 pts$1.5KJan 1, 2027
JD Vance announces a presidential run?By June 30, 2027 65%+5.5 pts$1.5KJul 1, 2027
2028 Presidential Election: Maine WinnerDemocratic Party 45.5%-2.5 pts$1.4KNov 8, 2028
2028 Presidential Election: Iowa WinnerRepublican Party 77.5%+8.0 pts$1.4KNov 8, 2028
Democratic VP Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20.5%-0.5 pts$1.3KNov 8, 2028
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary WinnerJon Ossoff 31.5%-7.0 pts$1.3KJan 23, 2028
AOC's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 10% 29.5%-2.0 pts$980Jan 1, 2027
Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 27%-15.5 pts$903Feb 2, 2028
2028 Presidential Election: Ohio WinnerRepublican Party 66%+5.0 pts$864Nov 8, 2028
2028 Presidential Election: Minnesota WinnerDemocratic Party 78%+9.5 pts$771Nov 8, 2028
2028 Presidential Election: Texas WinnerRepublican Party 64%+3.0 pts$669Nov 8, 2028
Republican VP Nominee 2028Marco Rubio 24.5%—$624Nov 8, 2028
Which party will win the House in 2028?Democratic Party 77.5%—$519Nov 8, 2028
Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?↓ 2% 26.5%-14.0 pts$458Jan 1, 2027
Marco Rubio announces a presidential run?By June 30, 2027 36%-1.0 pts$406Jul 1, 2027
Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus Winner 2028J.D. Vance 41%+0.5 pts$400Nov 8, 2028
2026 Senate or Governor race goes to full recount?Yes 38.5%-20.5 pts$365Jan 1, 2027
Will Trump nationalize elections?Yes 5.5%—$228Jan 1, 2027
2028 Presidential Election: Virginia WinnerDemocratic Party 79%—$205Nov 8, 2028
2028 Presidential Election: Pennsylvania WinnerDemocratic Party 51.5%-2.0 pts$145Nov 8, 2028

5 smaller markets are not shown; all 45 are in the JSON data.

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

🔔 Get alerts when big 2028 Presidential Election markets move — free Telegram watchlist

How these markets work: Multi-outcome markets · Election markets · Long-dated markets.

People in these markets

Kim Kardashian · LeBron James · Tim Walz · Zohran Mamdani · Oprah Winfrey · Bernie Sanders · Chelsea Clinton · Andrew Yang · Gavin Newsom · Michelle Obama · Hunter Biden · Hillary Clinton · George Clooney · Beto O’Rourke · Phil Murphy

More Politics & Elections odds

Trump (117) · 2026 Midterms (3) · Senate Races (18) · Governor Races (0) · House Races (0) · Supreme Court (45) · World Elections (128) · Brazil (26) · France (37) · Germany (15) · United Kingdom (23) · Canada (38) · Mexico (62) · Politics (78)

Frequently asked questions

What are the 2028 Presidential Election odds on Polymarket today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 45 live 2028 Presidential Election markets with $5.67M traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 (Jon Ossoff 27.3%), followed by Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 (J.D. Vance 36.5%), Presidential Election Winner 2028 (JD Vance 18.6%).

How many 2028 Presidential Election markets are open on Polymarket?

45 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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Polymarket View, “2028 Presidential Election odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/2028-election/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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