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Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026? — Polymarket Odds

Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 31, 2026

As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is $4.00-$4.50T at 51%, followed by $4.50-$5.00T at 23.5%, $3.50-$4.00T at 16.4%. The market has $20.5K in total volume and $351 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
$4.00-$4.50T51%
+1.0 pts$11.0K
$4.50-$5.00T23.5%
-2.8 pts$4.9K
$3.50-$4.00T16.4%
-2.5 pts$2.9K
$6.00T+8.8%
+6.2 pts$360
$5.00-$5.50T7.2%
+0.2 pts$286
$5.50-$6.00T2.1%
—$909
<$3.50T0.9%
+0.1 pts$207

Total volume $20.5K · 24h volume $351 · Liquidity $10.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Oct 16

■ $4.00-$4.50T ■ $4.50-$5.00T ■ $3.50-$4.00T · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.

If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).

If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.

If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.

The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?

As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is $4.00-$4.50T at 51%, followed by $4.50-$5.00T at 23.5%, $3.50-$4.00T at 16.4%. The market has $20.5K in total volume and $351 in the last 24 hours.

When does the Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026 market end?

The event's listed end date is October 31, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

Use this data

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