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Updated September 27, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of September 27, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is José Maria Neves at 79%, followed by Joana Rosa at 7.8%, Casimiro de Pina at 2.9%. The market has $25.5K in total volume and $2.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| José Maria Neves | 79% | -3.5 pts | $18.0K |
| Joana Rosa | 7.8% | +2.9 pts | $2.3K |
| Casimiro de Pina | 2.9% | +0.4 pts | $640 |
| Péricles Tavares | 1.5% | — | $775 |
| Janine Lélis | 1.3% | -0.1 pts | $2.9K |
| Milton Paiva | 1.0% | -0.1 pts | $444 |
| Fernando Delgado | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $380 |
Total volume $25.5K · 24h volume $2.1K · Liquidity $84.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ José Maria Neves ■ Joana Rosa ■ Casimiro de Pina · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of September 27, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is José Maria Neves at 79%, followed by Joana Rosa at 7.8%, Casimiro de Pina at 2.9%. The market has $25.5K in total volume and $2.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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