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Updated October 18, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 28, 2026
As of October 18, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Brendan Blomeley at 61%, followed by Tony Mulder at 21.6%, Dean Young at 6.5%. The market has $20.0K in total volume and $480 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Blomeley | 61% | +14.5 pts | $8.5K |
| Tony Mulder | 21.6% | +2.5 pts | $7.7K |
| Dean Young | 6.5% | -3.5 pts | $1.1K |
| Drew Jenner | 4.8% | -3.9 pts | $1.9K |
| James Walker | 0.5% | +0.4 pts | $802 |
Total volume $20.0K · 24h volume $480 · Liquidity $65.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Brendan Blomeley ■ Tony Mulder ■ Dean Young · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 18, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Brendan Blomeley at 61%, followed by Tony Mulder at 21.6%, Dean Young at 6.5%. The market has $20.0K in total volume and $480 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 28, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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