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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: December 1, 2026
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is <7.2M at 20.5%, followed by 7.3M to 7.4M at 17%, 7.8M+ at 16.4%. The market has $20.6K in total volume and $767 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| <7.2M | 20.5% | +8.5 pts | $3.8K |
| 7.3M to 7.4M | 17% | -1.0 pts | $2.8K |
| 7.8M+ | 16.4% | +1.4 pts | $1.9K |
| 7.2M to 7.3M | 12% | +1.5 pts | $3.6K |
| 7.5M to 7.6M | 12% | -2.0 pts | $3.1K |
| 7.6M to 7.7M | 8.1% | +3.4 pts | $2.1K |
| 7.4M to 7.5M | 5.4% | +0.1 pts | $1.4K |
| 7.7M to 7.8M | 4.6% | -4.0 pts | $1.8K |
Total volume $20.6K · 24h volume $767 · Liquidity $23.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ <7.2M ■ 7.3M to 7.4M ■ 7.8M+ · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in October 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in October 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on December 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: US Economy odds
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is <7.2M at 20.5%, followed by 7.3M to 7.4M at 17%, 7.8M+ at 16.4%. The market has $20.6K in total volume and $767 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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