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Updated November 7, 2026 · 149 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 149 live US Economy markets with $645.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Fed Decision in December? (25 bps increase 76.5%), followed by How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? (0 (0 bps) 98%), Largest Company end of December 2026? (Apple 63.3%).
The US economy: GDP growth, jobs reports, recession risk and economic policy. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 76.5% | -2.0 pts | $379.5K | Dec 10, 2026 |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 98% | +0.6 pts | $26.1K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Largest Company end of December 2026? | Apple 63.3% | +0.8 pts | $20.2K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 9.5% | -0.5 pts | $17.5K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 75.5% | — | $13.6K | Dec 10, 2026 |
| October Inflation US - Annual | 3.7% 88.5% | +1.0 pts | $13.1K | Nov 11, 2026 |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 73.5% | — | $11.6K | Jan 28, 2027 |
| Bank of Canada Decision in December? | No Change 74.5% | +6.5 pts | $8.5K | Dec 9, 2026 |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 75.5% | +1.0 pts | $8.4K | Dec 9, 2026 |
| JOLTS Job Openings: October 2026 | 7.8M+ 17.9% | +5.5 pts | $5.8K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Fed Decision in March? | No change 55% | — | $5.4K | Mar 18, 2027 |
| Bank of England decision in December? | No change 51.5% | +0.5 pts | $5.3K | Dec 17, 2026 |
| Largest Company end of November 2026? | Apple 71.5% | +8.0 pts | $5.2K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Bank of England Decision in February? | 25 bps increase 65% | -13.5 pts | $5.1K | Feb 4, 2027 |
| University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026 | 49.0 to 51.9 38.8% | +30.6 pts | $4.7K | Nov 20, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 74.5% | +3.0 pts | $4.1K | Dec 18, 2026 |
| US economic state at the end of 2026? | Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) 81.2% | -5.1 pts | $4.0K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) | Pause-Hike-Pause 71% | +1.5 pts | $3.8K | Jan 27, 2027 |
| How high will US unemployment go in 2026? | 7.0% 5.3% | +2.7 pts | $3.8K | Apr 1, 2027 |
| How high will inflation get in 2026? | Above 4.5% 10.5% | -0.5 pts | $3.4K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Fed Decision in April? | No change 59% | -0.5 pts | $3.2K | Apr 28, 2027 |
| Swiss National Bank Decision in March? | No Change 48.5% | — | $3.2K | Mar 18, 2027 |
| 2nd Largest Company end of November 2026? | NVIDIA 68.5% | +13.0 pts | $3.1K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? | <-0.3% 42.6% | -5.1 pts | $3.0K | Dec 2, 2026 |
| Swiss National Bank Decision in June? | No Change 63.5% | +21.5 pts | $2.9K | Jun 24, 2027 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December | No change 95.5% | +3.5 pts | $2.8K | Dec 8, 2026 |
| USD x Iranian rials End of December? | 2.5 - 3.0M 42.5% | +5.5 pts | $2.7K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| 3rd Largest Company end of November 2026? | Microsoft 82% | +5.5 pts | $2.7K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| PPI YoY - October 2026 | 6.8%+ 30.5% | +0.5 pts | $2.6K | Nov 14, 2026 |
| How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? | 1 36% | +0.5 pts | $2.6K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Bank of Korea Decision in February? | 25 bps increase 67% | +30.5 pts | $2.5K | Feb 25, 2027 |
| ISM Manufacturing PMI - November 2026 | 54.0 to 54.9 54.5% | +31.0 pts | $2.3K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| October Inflation UK - Annual | 3.7-3.9% 35.5% | -9.0 pts | $2.1K | Nov 18, 2026 |
| Trump publicly insults Warsh? | By December 31 11% | -2.0 pts | $2.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| US imposes new sanctions on China? | By November 30 5.5% | -6.0 pts | $2.0K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Bank of England Decision in March? | No Change 59.5% | +9.5 pts | $2.0K | Mar 18, 2027 |
| Which companies will the US take a stake in? | Unusual Machines 18% | — | $2.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Central Bank of Chile decision in December | No change 54% | -3.5 pts | $1.8K | Dec 15, 2026 |
| What will gas hit by end of November? | ↓ $4.05 99.6% | +1.3 pts | $1.7K | Nov 30, 2026 |
| October Inflation US - Monthly | 0.3% 42.5% | +1.5 pts | $1.6K | Nov 11, 2026 |
109 smaller markets are not shown; all 149 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 149 live US Economy markets with $645.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Fed Decision in December? (25 bps increase 76.5%), followed by How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? (0 (0 bps) 98%), Largest Company end of December 2026? (Apple 63.3%).
149 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/topic/economy/" width="100%" height="280" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="US Economy odds on Polymarket"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/economy/">US Economy odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/topics/economy.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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Polymarket View, “US Economy odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/economy/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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