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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: November 17, 2026
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By November 16 at 94.3%, followed by By November 14 at 87.5%, By November 13 at 73.5%. The market has $89.5K in total volume and $76.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By November 16 | 94.3% | — | $2.0K |
| By November 14 | 87.5% | +20.5 pts | $9.9K |
| By November 13 | 73.5% | — | $1.6K |
| By November 12 | 45% | +11.5 pts | $15.8K |
| By November 11 | 28% | — | $3.8K |
| By November 10 | 11.5% | -43.0 pts | $40.3K |
| By November 9 | 1.4% | -4.2 pts | $15.2K |
| By November 8 | 0.6% | -0.5 pts | $700 |
| By November 7 | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $256 |
Total volume $89.5K · 24h volume $76.9K · Liquidity $28.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By November 16 ■ By November 14 ■ By November 13 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Playing or completing any individual game, pauses in the livestream, or temporary breaks from gameplay will have no bearing on this market. If Kai Cenat permanently moves on from the Grand Theft Auto marathon to other activities, the marathon will be considered over at that time, even if his livestream continues uninterrupted.
Only events occurring while Kai Cenat is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be footage from Kai Cenat's official broadcast on YouTube and Twitch.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Pop Culture odds
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By November 16 at 94.3%, followed by By November 14 at 87.5%, By November 13 at 73.5%. The market has $89.5K in total volume and $76.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 17, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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