Home › Polymarket odds › Culture & Entertainment
Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: January 8, 2027
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 93.5%, followed by Avengers: Doomsday at 3.6%, The Odyssey at 0.1%. The market has $17.50M in total volume and $3.5K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 93.5% | — | $656.5K |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 3.6% | +0.1 pts | $1.01M |
| The Odyssey | 0.1% | — | $952.9K |
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 0.1% | — | $625.5K |
| Scream 7 | <0.1% | — | $2.46M |
| Wuthering Heights | <0.1% | — | $2.31M |
| Wicked: For Good | <0.1% | — | $2.21M |
| Project Hail Mary | <0.1% | — | $1.43M |
| Michael | <0.1% | — | $1.32M |
| Jumanji 3 | <0.1% | — | $1.22M |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | <0.1% | — | $1.18M |
| Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu | <0.1% | — | $820.4K |
| Dune: Messiah | <0.1% | — | $696.8K |
| Toy Story 5 | <0.1% | — | $617.3K |
Total volume $17.50M · 24h volume $3.5K · Liquidity $2.47M. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Spider-Man: Brand New Day ■ Avengers: Doomsday ■ The Odyssey · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Movies & Box Office odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 93.5%, followed by Avengers: Doomsday at 3.6%, The Odyssey at 0.1%. The market has $17.50M in total volume and $3.5K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 8, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/highest-grossing-movie-in-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Highest grossing movie in 2026? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/highest-grossing-movie-in-2026/">Highest grossing movie in 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/highest-grossing-movie-in-2026.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Highest grossing movie in 2026? — Polymarket odds”, September 23, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/highest-grossing-movie-in-2026/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog