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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: December 31, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is OKX at 5.6%, followed by Bybit at 3.5%, Binance at 3.5%. The market has $136.0K in total volume and $622 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken (settled) | 100% | +27.5 pts | $28.0K |
| OKX | 5.6% | -0.1 pts | $23.0K |
| Bybit | 3.5% | -0.1 pts | $18.1K |
| Binance | 3.5% | -1.1 pts | $17.7K |
| Upbit | 3.1% | -0.9 pts | $24.3K |
| Coinbase | 1.1% | +0.1 pts | $24.9K |
Total volume $136.0K · 24h volume $622 · Liquidity $30.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ OKX ■ Bybit ■ Binance · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the LAPTOP token is listed for spot trading on the specified exchange within 30 days after the token's launch (TGE). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable.
A qualifying listing means the token is available for spot trading on the exchange's primary global platform at any point from the token's launch through 11:59 PM ET on the 30th calendar day following the calendar day of launch (measured in ET). Perpetual futures, other derivatives, and pre-launch markets do not qualify. Roadmap additions, listing announcements, and deposit-only support do not qualify unless spot trading is live by the deadline. Listings available only on regional or affiliate platforms (e.g. Binance.US, Binance TR, Binance Alpha, Coinbase International Exchange, Upbit Singapore) do not qualify. A listing qualifies regardless of jurisdictional availability. Spot trading does not need to be accessible in any specific country or region, provided it is live on the exchange's primary global platform.
If the LAPTOP token has not launched by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the respective exchanges; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Token Launches & FDV odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is OKX at 5.6%, followed by Bybit at 3.5%, Binance at 3.5%. The market has $136.0K in total volume and $622 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 31, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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