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Los Angeles Mayoral Election — Polymarket Odds

Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: June 3, 2026

This market has closed. At the last update (November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on Nithya Raman, after $18.11M of total trading volume.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Nithya Raman100%
+0.2 pts$4.49M
Spencer Pratt0.0%
-0.6 pts$7.86M
Karen Bass0.0%
-0.3 pts$2.47M
Lindsey Horvath0.0%
—$1.69M
Rae Huang0.0%
—$522.8K
Rick Caruso0.0%
—$494.5K
Adam Miller0.0%
—$199.0K
Gina Viola0.0%
—$166.0K
Asaad Alnajjar0.0%
—$140.3K
Austin Beutner0.0%
—$44.9K
Monica Rodriguez0.0%
—$33.9K
Other0.0%
——
Candidate H0.0%
——
Candidate I0.0%
——
Candidate J0.0%
——

Total volume $18.11M · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 8Nov 6

■ Nithya Raman ■ Karen Bass · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

This market has closed. At the last update (November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on Nithya Raman, after $18.11M of total trading volume.

When does the Los Angeles Mayoral Election market end?

The event's listed end date is June 3, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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