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Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 3, 2026
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Keith Ellison (D) at 77%, followed by Ronald J. Schutz (R) at 23%. The market has $23.5K in total volume and $6.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Ellison (D) | 77% | +1.5 pts | $14.3K |
| Ronald J. Schutz (R) | 23% | -2.0 pts | $9.2K |
Total volume $23.5K · 24h volume $6.7K · Liquidity $67.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Keith Ellison (D) ■ Ronald J. Schutz (R) · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: 2026 Midterms odds · Politics odds
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Keith Ellison (D) at 77%, followed by Ronald J. Schutz (R) at 23%. The market has $23.5K in total volume and $6.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 3, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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