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Updated November 7, 2026 · 3 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 3 live 2026 Midterms markets with $21.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (Colom 0.6-0.9% 63%), followed by Next US Senate Minority Leader? (John Thune 92.5%), 2026 Senate or Governor race goes to full recount? (Yes 38.5%).
The 2026 US midterm elections: control of the House and Senate and the key state races. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
🗳 2026 midterm forecast (all chambers) · 2026 Senate forecast · 2026 House forecast · 2026 governor race forecast: every race in one table with each party's chance and a safe/likely/lean/toss-up rating.
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory | Colom 0.6-0.9% 63% | +29.6 pts | $14.3K | Nov 21, 2026 |
| Next US Senate Minority Leader? | John Thune 92.5% | +6.0 pts | $7.3K | Jan 3, 2027 |
| 2026 Senate or Governor race goes to full recount? | Yes 38.5% | -20.5 pts | $365 | Jan 1, 2027 |
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
🔔 Get alerts when big 2026 Midterms markets move — free Telegram watchlist
How these markets work: Election markets · Approval rating markets · Parlay-style markets.
John Thune · Cory Booker · Mark Kelly · Tom Cotton · Rick Scott · Chuck Schumer
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As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 3 live 2026 Midterms markets with $21.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (Colom 0.6-0.9% 63%), followed by Next US Senate Minority Leader? (John Thune 92.5%), 2026 Senate or Governor race goes to full recount? (Yes 38.5%).
3 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
Paste this on your site or newsletter — it shows the five most-traded 2026 Midterms markets and updates twice a day.
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/api/v1/topics/midterms.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.
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Polymarket View, “2026 Midterms odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/midterms/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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