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Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 27, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on the outcome listed as settled below, after $283.2K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By September 30 | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $174.4K |
| By July 31 | 0.0% | — | $108.8K |
Total volume $283.2K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
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Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Israel odds · Politics odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on the outcome listed as settled below, after $283.2K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 27, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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