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Updated October 7, 2026 · Category: Tech & AI · Market end date: November 30, 2026
As of October 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By November 30 at 52%, followed by By October 31 at 24.5%. The market has $20.2K in total volume and $402 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By November 30 | 52% | +15.0 pts | $4.8K |
| By October 31 | 24.5% | +6.0 pts | $11.6K |
| By September 30 (settled) | 0.0% | -1.1 pts | $3.7K |
Total volume $20.2K · 24h volume $402 · Liquidity $304. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By November 30 ■ By October 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Pro," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Pro would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, such as DeepSeek-V4-Flash or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's flagship endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's flagship model.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: AI odds
As of October 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By November 30 at 52%, followed by By October 31 at 24.5%. The market has $20.2K in total volume and $402 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 30, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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