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Updated November 7, 2026 · 185 live markets · refreshed twice a day
As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 185 live AI markets with $692.5K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap ($1.25–$1.5T 31.1%), followed by GPT Astra 6.1+ released? (By December 31 96.8%), Which company has the best AI model end of November? (Google 76%).
Artificial intelligence: model releases, leaderboard rankings and AI company milestones. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
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| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 31.1% | +10.0 pts | $182.0K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released? | By December 31 96.8% | -1.9 pts | $42.8K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% | +3.0 pts | $42.5K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$1.5T 75.1% | -4.0 pts | $37.2K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released? | By December 31 98.8% | +3.9 pts | $35.0K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 63.5% | +3.0 pts | $26.7K | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) | 1.8T+ 31.5% | -5.5 pts | $23.5K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 80.5% | +4.0 pts | $20.4K | Jan 4, 2027 |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% | +3.0 pts | $13.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released? | November 12 31.3% | +10.8 pts | $12.9K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| In which month will Anthropic IPO? | November 2026 77% | +20.1 pts | $12.8K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Louisiana enacts data center moratorium? | By December 31, 2028 31% | -0.5 pts | $12.7K | Jan 1, 2029 |
| OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution? | By December 31, 2027 55.5% | +0.5 pts | $10.6K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Gemini Carbon released? | By November 30 98.6% | +0.8 pts | $10.5K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Gemini Carbon released? | November 10 42.4% | +8.1 pts | $10.4K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November? | Moonshot 34.5% | -1.0 pts | $8.8K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| #3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On) | Meta 61.5% | +2.5 pts | $7.6K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut? | 1500+ 93.6% | — | $6.7K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product? | By December 31, 2026 11.5% | -2.5 pts | $6.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On) | Anthropic 39% | -28.5 pts | $6.3K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets) | 600B+ 97% | +0.7 pts | $6.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? | $1.50–$1.75T 45.8% | +22.5 pts | $6.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released? | November 10 28.9% | +7.3 pts | $5.8K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? | $75B to $85B 39.2% | +0.7 pts | $5.4K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| OpenRouter token usage week of November 2? | 205T+ 94% | +17.0 pts | $5.3K | Nov 9, 2026 |
| Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released? | By November 30 93.3% | -0.8 pts | $5.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 9–November 15 57% | +2.5 pts | $5.2K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026? (Higher Strikes) | $10.00+ 39% | +19.5 pts | $5.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Next Qwen Max Model (3.9+): Text Arena Debut? | 1460+ 85.5% | — | $4.8K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Hy4: Text Arena Debut? | 1440+ 77.5% | — | $4.7K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Next Google Gemini Pro Model released? | By December 31 9.0% | -6.5 pts | $4.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut? | 50%+ 99% | -0.5 pts | $4.3K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| What % of Anthropic will be sold in its IPO? | 5% to 6% 31.5% | +6.0 pts | $4.3K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | Anthropic 90.5% | -2.2 pts | $3.8K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next? | No solution by Dec 31, 2027 29.5% | -4.0 pts | $3.6K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed? | By June 30 91% | — | $3.2K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? | Yes 71.5% | -14.0 pts | $3.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released? | By December 31 44% | -21.5 pts | $3.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ? | $1.5T 55.9% | -9.8 pts | $2.9K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes 70.5% | -4.5 pts | $2.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
145 smaller markets are not shown; all 185 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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OpenAI (80) · Anthropic (76) · Big Tech (174) · Elon Musk (69) · Science & Space (105)
As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 185 live AI markets with $692.5K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap ($1.25–$1.5T 31.1%), followed by GPT Astra 6.1+ released? (By December 31 96.8%), Which company has the best AI model end of November? (Google 76%).
185 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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