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Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner — Polymarket Odds

Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: July 26, 2027

As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ND at 91.5%, followed by ELAS at 4.3%, SYRIZA at 0.6%. The market has $22.2K in total volume and $579 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
ND91.5%
+2.0 pts$8.2K
ELAS4.3%
-1.4 pts$6.9K
SYRIZA0.6%
—$1.5K
EL0.4%
—$1.1K
KKE0.4%
—$1.0K
PASOK-KINAL0.4%
-0.7 pts$871
PE0.3%
+0.1 pts$899
ELPIDA0.2%
—$920
NIKI0.1%
-0.1 pts$843

Total volume $22.2K · 24h volume $579 · Liquidity $198.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Oct 16

■ ND ■ ELAS ■ SYRIZA · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the Hellenic Parliament are scheduled to be held before July 25, 2027.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Greek government.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner?

As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ND at 91.5%, followed by ELAS at 4.3%, SYRIZA at 0.6%. The market has $22.2K in total volume and $579 in the last 24 hours.

When does the Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner market end?

The event's listed end date is July 26, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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