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Updated October 5, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ülle Madise at 99%, followed by Indrek Laul at 0.5%, Hannes Hanso at 0.3%. The market has $60.2K in total volume and $428 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ülle Madise | 99% | +0.9 pts | $44.1K |
| Indrek Laul | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $1.4K |
| Hannes Hanso | 0.3% | — | $1.3K |
| Riho Ühtegi | 0.2% | — | $1.0K |
| Indrek Tarand | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $908 |
| Mart Helme | 0.2% | — | $1.1K |
| Maive Rute | 0.1% | — | $8.2K |
| Riina Kionka | 0.1% | — | $1.1K |
| Jonatan Vseviov | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $1.1K |
Total volume $60.2K · 24h volume $428 · Liquidity $101.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Ülle Madise ■ Indrek Laul ■ Hannes Hanso · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Estonia is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on September 2, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Ülle Madise at 99%, followed by Indrek Laul at 0.5%, Hannes Hanso at 0.3%. The market has $60.2K in total volume and $428 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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