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Updated October 17, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 17, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 79.5%, followed by By November 30 at 56.5%, By October 31 at 19.5%. The market has $36.3K in total volume and $36.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31 | 79.5% | — | $12.2K |
| By November 30 | 56.5% | — | $10.2K |
| By October 31 | 19.5% | — | $13.8K |
Total volume $36.3K · 24h volume $36.4K · Liquidity $156.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31 ■ By November 30 ■ By October 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds
As of October 17, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 79.5%, followed by By November 30 at 56.5%, By October 31 at 19.5%. The market has $36.3K in total volume and $36.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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