Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Sorin Grindeanu at 41.3%, followed by Alexandru Nazare at 28.6%, Siegfried Mureșan at 16.8%. The market has $4.00M in total volume and $36.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sorin Grindeanu | 41.3% | +10.9 pts | $516.4K |
| Alexandru Nazare | 28.6% | -5.6 pts | $330.2K |
| Siegfried Mureșan | 16.8% | -1.1 pts | $122.6K |
| Ilie Bolojan | 3.9% | -0.8 pts | $205.8K |
| Eugen Tomac | 3.5% | +0.2 pts | $309.7K |
| Alexandru Rogobete | 3.2% | -0.3 pts | $70.0K |
| Radu Burnete | 1.8% | -0.1 pts | $109.1K |
| George Simion | 1.8% | -0.1 pts | $66.3K |
| Șerban Matei | 1.1% | +1.0 pts | $85.0K |
| Victor Ponta | 0.9% | — | $76.9K |
| Cătălin Predoiu | 0.7% | -0.5 pts | $159.7K |
| Traian Basescu | 0.5% | +0.1 pts | $79.8K |
| Delia Velculescu | 0.4% | — | $110.2K |
| Dan Motreanu | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $83.2K |
| Lucian Croitoru | 0.4% | — | $63.9K |
21 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $4.00M · 24h volume $36.3K · Liquidity $1.01M. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Sorin Grindeanu ■ Alexandru Nazare ■ Siegfried Mureșan · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is Sorin Grindeanu at 41.3%, followed by Alexandru Nazare at 28.6%, Siegfried Mureșan at 16.8%. The market has $4.00M in total volume and $36.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/next-prime-minister-of-romania-732/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Next Prime Minister of Romania? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-prime-minister-of-romania-732/">Next Prime Minister of Romania? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/next-prime-minister-of-romania-732.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Next Prime Minister of Romania? — Polymarket odds”, September 23, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/next-prime-minister-of-romania-732/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog