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Updated September 27, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: August 1, 2027
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Mark Brown at 96.4%, followed by Tina Browne at 3.2%, Teariki Heather at 0.8%. The market has $56.8K in total volume and $347 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Brown | 96.4% | — | $46.3K |
| Tina Browne | 3.2% | +0.9 pts | $5.8K |
| Teariki Heather | 0.8% | — | $4.8K |
Total volume $56.8K · 24h volume $347 · Liquidity $32.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Mark Brown ■ Tina Browne ■ Teariki Heather · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Mark Brown at 96.4%, followed by Tina Browne at 3.2%, Teariki Heather at 0.8%. The market has $56.8K in total volume and $347 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is August 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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