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Updated October 7, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 17, 2027
As of October 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Bola Tinubu at 71.5%, followed by Peter Obi at 24%, Omoyele Sowore at 0.7%. The market has $128.8K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bola Tinubu | 71.5% | +0.5 pts | $81.2K |
| Peter Obi | 24% | — | $25.1K |
| Omoyele Sowore | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $8.4K |
| Rabiu Kwankwaso | 0.4% | — | $6.6K |
| Rotimi Amaechi | 0.3% | — | $7.5K |
Total volume $128.8K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $200.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Bola Tinubu ■ Peter Obi ■ Omoyele Sowore · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Bola Tinubu at 71.5%, followed by Peter Obi at 24%, Omoyele Sowore at 0.7%. The market has $128.8K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 17, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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