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Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 28, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2026 at 13%. The market has $578.2K in total volume and $212 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31, 2026 | 13% | +0.5 pts | $192.4K |
| By June 30, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $385.8K |
Total volume $578.2K · 24h volume $212 · Liquidity $15.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 28, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2026 at 13%. The market has $578.2K in total volume and $212 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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