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Updated September 28, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 5, 2026
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán at 40.5%, followed by Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi at 33.5%, José Luis Morey Requejo at 14.1%. The market has $36.0K in total volume and $299 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán | 40.5% | +6.7 pts | $12.7K |
| Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi | 33.5% | +2.0 pts | $17.8K |
| José Luis Morey Requejo | 14.1% | -1.8 pts | $314 |
| John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin | 8.8% | +0.3 pts | $452 |
| Guillermo Chávez Timoteo | 5.4% | +0.1 pts | $345 |
| Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde | 4.7% | -0.1 pts | $456 |
| Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena | 4.7% | +0.1 pts | $275 |
| Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia | 4.6% | -0.1 pts | $259 |
| Walther Guerrero Silva | 4.3% | -0.1 pts | $288 |
| Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado | 4.2% | — | $273 |
| Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot | 4.0% | -0.4 pts | $252 |
| Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios | 2.9% | — | $443 |
| Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios | 1.6% | — | $252 |
| Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño | 0.5% | — | $1.6K |
| Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví | 0.3% | +0.1 pts | $294 |
Total volume $36.0K · 24h volume $299 · Liquidity $51.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán ■ Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi ■ José Luis Morey Requejo · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of September 28, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán at 40.5%, followed by Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi at 33.5%, José Luis Morey Requejo at 14.1%. The market has $36.0K in total volume and $299 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 5, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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