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Piura Mayoral Election Winner — Polymarket Odds

Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 5, 2026

This market has closed. At the last update (November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi, after $43.4K of total trading volume.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi100%
+6.1 pts$20.0K
Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán0.0%
-5.8 pts$13.7K
Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño0.0%
—$1.7K
Walther Guerrero Silva0.0%
-0.1 pts$1.2K
José Luis Morey Requejo0.0%
—$877
Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado0.0%
-0.1 pts$731
Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios0.0%
—$695
John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin0.0%
-0.1 pts$693
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia0.0%
-0.1 pts$661
Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde0.0%
—$644
Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot0.0%
—$636
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena0.0%
—$542
Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví0.0%
—$465
Guillermo Chávez Timoteo0.0%
—$422
Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios0.0%
—$381

27 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.

Total volume $43.4K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Nov 9

■ Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi ■ Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán ■ Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

The 2026 Piura, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Piura Mayoral Election Winner?

This market has closed. At the last update (November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi, after $43.4K of total trading volume.

When does the Piura Mayoral Election Winner market end?

The event's listed end date is October 5, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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