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Updated October 17, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 25, 2026
As of October 17, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 62-66% at 36.5%, followed by 66-70% at 34.5%, 70%+ at 25%. The market has $20.4K in total volume and $2.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62-66% | 36.5% | +1.0 pts | $4.1K |
| 66-70% | 34.5% | +3.5 pts | $3.1K |
| 70%+ | 25% | -1.0 pts | $8.5K |
| 58-62% | 7.7% | -1.1 pts | $3.5K |
| <58% | 3.6% | -0.7 pts | $1.2K |
Total volume $20.4K · 24h volume $2.0K · Liquidity $67.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 62-66% ■ 66-70% ■ 70%+ · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (Republička izborna komisija, https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds
As of October 17, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 62-66% at 36.5%, followed by 66-70% at 34.5%, 70%+ at 25%. The market has $20.4K in total volume and $2.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 25, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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