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Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Crypto · Market end date: October 19, 2026
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 2,400 at 61.5%, followed by ↑ 2,500 at 44%, ↓ 2,300 at 9.5%. The market has $417.5K in total volume and $167.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 2,400 (settled) | 100% | +65.5 pts | $10.6K |
| ↓ 2,500 (settled) | 100% | — | $4.0K |
| ↓ 2,500 (settled) | 100% | — | $289 |
| ↓ 2,400 | 61.5% | — | $60 |
| ↑ 2,500 | 44% | -4.5 pts | $216 |
| ↓ 2,300 | 9.5% | -19.0 pts | $33.4K |
| ↑ 2,600 | 7.6% | -2.9 pts | $28.8K |
| ↓ 2,200 | 2.8% | -6.6 pts | $47.2K |
| ↑ 2,700 | 2.5% | — | $66.8K |
| ↓ 2,000 | 1.2% | -0.5 pts | $36.2K |
| ↓ 2,100 | 1.2% | -3.6 pts | $52.4K |
| ↑ 2,800 | 1.2% | -0.7 pts | $48.3K |
| ↓ 1,900 | 0.7% | -0.4 pts | $13.6K |
| ↑ 2,900 | 0.4% | -0.9 pts | $27.1K |
| ↑ 3,100 | 0.4% | — | $17.5K |
3 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $417.5K · 24h volume $167.0K · Liquidity $453.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ ↓ 2,400 ■ ↑ 2,500 ■ ↓ 2,300 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Ethereum odds · Crypto Prices odds
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ 2,400 at 61.5%, followed by ↑ 2,500 at 44%, ↓ 2,300 at 9.5%. The market has $417.5K in total volume and $167.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 19, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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