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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Sports · Market end date: February 15, 2027
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jay Z at 96%, followed by Miley Cyrus at 18%, Kanye West at 14%. The market has $109.0K in total volume and $775 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Z | 96% | +0.4 pts | $5.5K |
| Miley Cyrus | 18% | -9.5 pts | $3.3K |
| Kanye West | 14% | — | $6.5K |
| Justin Bieber | 9.5% | — | $17.8K |
| Luke Combs | 8.5% | — | $6.3K |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 7.8% | — | $9.6K |
| Drake | 7.5% | — | $8.4K |
| Dua Lipa | 7.2% | -0.1 pts | $19.2K |
| Taylor Swift | 7.0% | — | $11.9K |
| Post Malone | 6.6% | — | $5.4K |
| Harry Styles | 6.2% | — | $8.4K |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 6.0% | — | $6.8K |
Total volume $109.0K · 24h volume $775 · Liquidity $199.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Jay Z ■ Miley Cyrus ■ Kanye West · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Super Bowl LXI is scheduled to be played on February 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person appears in the 2027 Super Bowl Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A person will be considered to appear in the Super Bowl Halftime Show if they appear live and in person on the official Super Bowl Halftime Show broadcast within one of the following areas: i) the field of play, including the end zones; ii) any surrounding field-level areas below the first level of stands, such as the sidelines, areas behind the end zones, and tunnels leading directly onto the field; or iii) any set, stage, rig, or platform built for the Halftime Show, wherever it stands in the stadium. No particular activity is required, and the length of the appearance does not impact resolution.
The official broadcast refers to the official Super Bowl broadcaster’s primary national telecast of the 2027 National Football League Super Bowl in the United States, including the official broadcaster’s simultaneous official stream of that telecast.
The Halftime Show is the entertainment program staged at the stadium between the second and third quarters of the National Football League Super Bowl and presented in the official broadcast, from the start of the program to its conclusion.
The following will not qualify absent an appearance in the Super Bowl Halftime Show as defined above: attendance at the Super Bowl; an appearance on the official broadcast outside the designated areas, including in the stands, a suite, or another spectator area; an appearance before the Halftime Show begins or after it ends, including a rehearsal or soundcheck; or an appearance that is not live and in person, including a pre-recorded segment, a remote, satellite, holographic, or digitally projected appearance, or an artificial simulation or recreation of the listed person.
If the official broadcast is unavailable for any period during the Halftime Show, an appearance occurring only during that period qualifies only if the NFL or the official broadcaster of the Super Bowl releases video of the listed person appearing in the Super Bowl Halftime Show by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the Super Bowl. Official video released by the NFL and the broadcaster includes video published later in the official broadcast, on their official website, application, streaming service, or official social media accounts. If the broadcast does not become unavailable during the Halftime Show, non-broadcast videos will not qualify for resolution.
If no Super Bowl Halftime Show takes place by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the 2027 Super Bowl Halftime Show; however, videos of the 2027 Super Bowl Halftime Show released by its official broadcaster and the NFL may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: NFL odds · Music odds · Celebrities & Creators odds · Pop Culture odds
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Jay Z at 96%, followed by Miley Cyrus at 18%, Kanye West at 14%. The market has $109.0K in total volume and $775 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is February 15, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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